UNOFFICIAL..Katrina #5; Cat 1 for SFL; then E of Panama City

[ncweatherwizard]

Quote Storm2K:

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Quote Nencweather.com:
Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable (see below link), always first consult and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional source of information except nencweather.com.

Verifications may be found here:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... index.html

Forecast 5:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... trina.html

I start at 55kts as I'm caught between some incoming aircraft data. Hurricane is very possible (I won't say likely, but rather very realistic) before reaching south Florida; although the winds will be felt on the east side of the center. Intensification forecasted in the GOM, bringing the storm ashore as a strong Cat 1 hurricane. Much of how strong Katrina is for the second landfall depends on how intact it remains as it crosses the peninsula.

Scott