Is the Cape Verde Season over or not?

[cycloneye]

What do you think about the Cape Verde season at this point being early September and no longracker has formed yet in the Eastern Atlantic?

FYI=A true CV system is one that forms east of 40w longitud.

[Brent]

Still have 2-3 weeks...

[nequad]

It can't be over if it never started.

My guess is we might get one cape verde system, but it needs to happen in the next 2 weeks.

[Ivanhater]

well i sure hope they do develop that far east, im fed up with them staying weak until they get over here and bomb out

[cycloneye]

Still have 2-3 weeks...

Yep time is running out and then the focus should be homegrown areas.

[Downdraft]

My brain tells me we have more to come but my heart tells me enough is enough. How can any of us ever find joy in tracking hurricanes again?

[Ivanhater]

My brain tells me we have more to come but my heart tells me enough is enough. How can any of us ever find joy in tracking hurricanes again?

i know, im depressed, i know some people on here are like oh well NEXT, i cant just move on with this huge tragedy with thousands dead, but like always time will heal

[krysof]

This year everything shifted home, which I think is much worse than Cape Verde hurricanes which usually recurve, strengthen then weaken. This year hurricanes don't need all that water to reach Cat 4 and 5.

[cycloneye]

1933 was interesting because no CV system formed being the most active season on record so far.



In the second most active season on record 1995 the opposite occured when a few CV systems formed.

Let's see what kind of route the 2005 CV season goes being already a very active season.

[EDR1222]

It is interesting that there has not been any long tracking Cape Verde systems this year. I would agree that it probably has to happen within the next couple of weeks because after that, the far eastern Atlantic will begin to shut down. So far this year has proven that you definately don't need Cape Verde systems to have a busy year!

[Astro_man92]

I am just posting a series of maps comparing some Famous seasons and some seasons that I thought were interesting

[curtinnc]

Still a little early to call it... Couple more storms gonna be in the making unless climatology goes completely out the door... Wait, heck, that's already happened this year... Just think it's not over yet.

[scostorms]

How do they figure way back to 1886?

[WeatherEmperor]

How do they figure way back to 1886?

those sailing ships I think.

<RICKY>

[wxwatcher91]

1933 was interesting because no CV system formed being the most active season on record so far.



In the second most active season on record 1995 the opposite occured when a few CV systems formed.

Let's see what kind of route the 2005 CV season goes being already a very active season.

I think the records only went so far out into the Atlantic... thats why a lot of the storms form around 50 or 60W... notice that all the storms begin as tropical storms or even hurricanes and not depressions... I think 1933 was a wicked active CV year based on the tracks of the storms it looks like a lot of them may have formed further east than it appears...

also, if my theory is correct, 1933 couldve seen more named storms than were recorded such as CV storms that became fishes east of 40W and short-trackers that were never observed...

It is very hard to base anything on these seasons so long ago due to the uncertainty of the possibilities I have brought up... I could be wrong but we will never know for sure...

[Windtalker1]

as a matter of fact, we do have some strong waves about to exit Africa and the rements on whats left of I think 91L (I lost track) is looking to be gaining ladtitude and will probably be in a more favorable position to form once above 12 degrees. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[WeatherEmperor]

wow look at that monster about to come off Africa......Now why does that first sentence sound so familiar? This thing could have a chance to develop but like almost all the waves that have come off AFrica, they go poof once they hit the water. However we are in September and every wave coming off Africa must be watched.

<RICKY>

[MiamiensisWx]

Where is the thread for eastern Atlantic or African (Cape Verde) waves? I just want to make sure we're on topic (including me). Can anyone please bump it up?

Thanks...

[Hyperstorm]

It's not over until it's over.

Cycloneye,

Does the date September 15, 1998 bring you any memories? That was the date that a powerful tropical wave developed into Tropical Depression Seven right off the coast of Africa. Who would have known that six days later, it would become one of the worst natural disasters in the history of Puerto Rico and many other Caribbean islands.

BTW, I have noticed that the pattern in the Atlantic doesn't resemble that of early September. It looks more like late September. The troughs are REALLY making their presence felt in the Eastern Atlantic with their base SOUTH of 30N! Very impressive for this time of year, especially with such negatively tilted ones.

Makes me wonder (although not scientific in any way) that the July pattern was "August-like" and the August pattern was more "September-like". Who knows if the season will transition to more "homebrew" activity earlier than normal. Something to think about...

However, just as I stated earlier, it's not over until it's over. Climatology suggests we still have a long ways to go. We'll see...

[wxmann_91]

Because of the extremely weak subtropical ridge, a CV storm developing further east would be better news than a weak tropical wave/depression sneaking beneath the ridge and becoming a homegrown.