UNOFFICIAL..Nate #4; south of Bermuda; peaking at 85KTS

[ncweatherwizard]

Quote Storm2K:

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Quote Nencweather.com:
Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable (see below link), always first consult and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional source of information except nencweather.com.

Verifications may be found here:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... index.html

Forecast 4:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... /nate.html

Given the organization of the storm now, I keep it as a strong hurricane through two days until it really becomes caught up in westerly flow and shear begins to affect it. I would not be completely surprised if Nate briefly reaches Category 3 status at some point before it begins moving out to sea very quickly.
BTW, Maria forecasts have been issued; I just haven't been posting the links regularly. The final forecast was issued today at 11AM.

Scott

[Derek Ortt]

just saw your location is coral gables, FL

are you attending UM now?

[seflcane]

I was wondering how does one get into FSU, Colo State, or RSMAS so I can learn from pro mets who have been in the industry for many years?

[ncweatherwizard]

Yes, I'm attending UM now. (Granted the cost of room and board is still killer despite having tuition paid.)

[seflcane]

Yes, I'm attending UM now. (Granted the cost of room and board is still killer despite having tuition paid.)

Id give up my left arm to go to met school to be a hurricane forecaster. Penn State I hear is good too. Alot of hurricane experts went there. Btw are the dorms co ed?

[Skywatch_NC]

Yes, I'm attending UM now. (Granted the cost of room and board is still killer despite having tuition paid.)

Id give up my left arm to go to met school to be a hurricane forecaster. Penn State I hear is good too. Alot of hurricane experts went there. Btw are the dorms co ed?

A local chief met Greg Fishel from WRAL-TV5 in Raleigh went to Penn State as well...and DocHurricane is now a junior there.

[Derek Ortt]

I assume that you're majoring in met then, nc

[seflcane]

Yes, I'm attending UM now. (Granted the cost of room and board is still killer despite having tuition paid.)

Id give up my left arm to go to met school to be a hurricane forecaster. Penn State I hear is good too. Alot of hurricane experts went there. Btw are the dorms co ed?

A local chief met Greg Fishel from WRAL-TV5 in Raleigh went to Penn State as well...and DocHurricane is now a junior there.

Didnt Stacy Stewart go to Penn State? Chris landsea went to Colo state to learn under Dr. Gray. Also Joe Bastardi hurricane expert at acuwx went to Penn State. Someone told me JB wants to work at NOAA's Hurricane Research Division.

[Skywatch_NC]

Stacy Stewart is a Hurricane Specialist and Warning Coordination Meteorologist at the National Hurricane Center. He has been forecasting hurricanes and tropical storms since 1986. Stacy has issued forecasts for tropical cyclones in every basin of the world. He has been working at the Tropical Prediction Center since February, 1999, and has been at the National Hurricane Center since April, 2000.

Stewart, also still performs part-time work as a Typhoon Duty Officer (tropical cyclone forecaster) with the U.S. Naval Reserve and work at the Joint Typhoon Warning Center in Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Stacy received much of my meteorological experience through on-the-job training in the Navy and the National Weather Service (NWS). He also attended Navy and NWS weather courses and completed many meteorological correspondence courses.

Stewart graduated from Ocala (FL) Vanguard High School in 1973. His formal education consists of an A. A. degree in Pre-Engineering in 1981 from Hillsborough Community College, Tampa, FL; B. S. degree in Physics and Mathematics in 1984 from Middle Tennessee State University, Murfreesboro, TN; and a M. S. degree in Meteorology in 1992 from the University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK.

During his short tenure at the NHC, Stewart has had the opportunity to interact at some length with the public and the emergency management community and learn about their needs concerning hurricane preparedness. He has also been able to help design and develop the National Hurricane Awareness Week, 21-25 May 2001, web page at the National Hurricane Center web site.

Doesn't mention him having gone to Penn State

[seflcane]

Stacy Stewart is a Hurricane Specialist and Warning Coordination Meteorologist at the National Hurricane Center. He has been forecasting hurricanes and tropical storms since 1986. Stacy has issued forecasts for tropical cyclones in every basin of the world. He has been working at the Tropical Prediction Center since February, 1999, and has been at the National Hurricane Center since April, 2000.

Stewart, also still performs part-time work as a Typhoon Duty Officer (tropical cyclone forecaster) with the U.S. Naval Reserve and work at the Joint Typhoon Warning Center in Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Stacy received much of my meteorological experience through on-the-job training in the Navy and the National Weather Service (NWS). He also attended Navy and NWS weather courses and completed many meteorological correspondence courses.

Stewart graduated from Ocala (FL) Vanguard High School in 1973. His formal education consists of an A. A. degree in Pre-Engineering in 1981 from Hillsborough Community College, Tampa, FL; B. S. degree in Physics and Mathematics in 1984 from Middle Tennessee State University, Murfreesboro, TN; and a M. S. degree in Meteorology in 1992 from the University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK.

During his short tenure at the NHC, Stewart has had the opportunity to interact at some length with the public and the emergency management community and learn about their needs concerning hurricane preparedness. He has also been able to help design and develop the National Hurricane Awareness Week, 21-25 May 2001, web page at the National Hurricane Center web site.

Doesn't mention him having gone to Penn State

I must have been thinking about someone else. No offense but he if got his degree in 1992 how did he get to NHC that fast? There are more qualified people in the private industry.

[ncweatherwizard]

I assume that you're majoring in met then, nc

Meteorology/Math double major.

[Derek Ortt]

same degree as I have

welcome to UM

I am not on the main campus that much though as my office is at the RSMAS campus