Chances of Ophelia moving into GOM

[CYCLONE MIKE]

What does anyone think about the chances that Ophelia will hit a road block called strong high pressure and either move SW into the GOM a la Katrina or do a loop de loop and cut across southern/central Florida on a due west heading into the GOM for a second landfall. I know there are a few models hinting at it but what does everyone else think? Please explain. To me looking at the latest WV loop she looks to be bumping into the ridge now and drifting west. Look at the NE flow cutting across Florida and out into the Gulf. Could this be the future trail for her to follow?

[jasons2k]

Unfortunately for the GOM I think she has a good shot of ending up there. I think the ridge willl probably ridge her to the west or even WSW.

I think all the wobbles right now are pretty inconsequential, as I don't see her doing much for the next 24 hours or so....altho my radar fixes have her steadily just north of due west now so I'm watching closely....

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Unfortunately for the GOM I think she has a good shot of ending up there. I think the ridge willl probably ridge her to the west or even WSW.

I think all the wobbles right now are pretty inconsequential, as I don't see her doing much for the next 24 hours or so....altho my radar fixes have her steadily just north of due west now so I'm watching closely....

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

I agree. Unfortunately for GOM the ridge is building strong.
It has been moving W or WSW on Melborne radar for some time now.

W/WSW movement for next 2-3 days at least IMO.
Models may shift

[mettski]

lets face it, chances are it's going through tampa

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

lets face it, chances are it's going through tampa

Don't know if it will go that far south, but a WSW track would bring
it very close. Windy weekend perhaps...


Still too early to tell...by tomorrow I'll have a better idea.

[mettski]

lets face it, chances are it's going through tampa

Don't know if it will go that far south, but a WSW track would bring
it very close. Windy weekend perhaps...


Still too early to tell...by tomorrow I'll have a better idea.

im being pessimistic (sic) i guess. my gf lives on davis island so it would be typical after what has happened. they seem pretty complacent there, so am continually trying to educate them (her and her folks) on the dangers of a hurricane hit. she told me there is a sign on the bridge between davis and mainland saying "we are next" - did you put it there ?

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

lets face it, chances are it's going through tampa

Don't know if it will go that far south, but a WSW track would bring
it very close. Windy weekend perhaps...


Still too early to tell...by tomorrow I'll have a better idea.

im being pessimistic (sic) i guess. my gf lives on davis island so it would be typical after what has happened. they seem pretty complacent there, so am continually trying to educate them (her and her folks) on the dangers of a hurricane hit. she told me there is a sign on the bridge between davis and mainland saying "we are next" - did you put it there ?

Wait how do you know about my secret Hurricane Vodoo??? Don't expose my plan to send one to Tampa...

[mettski]

lets face it, chances are it's going through tampa

Don't know if it will go that far south, but a WSW track would bring
it very close. Windy weekend perhaps...


Still too early to tell...by tomorrow I'll have a better idea.

im being pessimistic (sic) i guess. my gf lives on davis island so it would be typical after what has happened. they seem pretty complacent there, so am continually trying to educate them (her and her folks) on the dangers of a hurricane hit. she told me there is a sign on the bridge between davis and mainland saying "we are next" - did you put it there ?

Wait how do you know about my secret Hurricane Vodoo??? Don't expose my plan to send one to Tampa...

lol. lets both pray it never happens. lucky tampa eh.