Melbourne NWSFO Radar Loop (Ophelia)

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Frank2
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Melbourne NWSFO Radar Loop (Ophelia)

#1 Postby Frank2 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:25 am

Just my opinion, but, it seems that perhaps the system is now drifting eastwood (uh, eastward - guess I watched too many movies last night!).

Click on http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS. ... kmlb.shtml

Frank
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Re: Melbourne NWSFO Radar Loop (Ophelia)

#2 Postby wzrgirl1 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:28 am

Frank2 wrote:Just my opinion, but, it seems that perhaps the system is now drifting eastwood (uh, eastward - guess I watched too many movies last night!).

Click on http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS. ... kmlb.shtml

Frank


could be....hard to tell
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#3 Postby tallbunch » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:28 am

looks to me like its going nowhere, maybe a dip south
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Re: Melbourne NWSFO Radar Loop (Ophelia)

#4 Postby boca » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:35 am

Frank2 wrote:Just my opinion, but, it seems that perhaps the system is now drifting eastwood (uh, eastward - guess I watched too many movies last night!).

Click on http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS. ... kmlb.shtml

Frank


Frank2 drink a six pack real qiuckly and then go on the Melbourne radar and tell us which way the storm is drifting as the room spins, only kidding. :lol:
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#5 Postby artist » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:38 am

anyone know what the HPC is saying now?
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#6 Postby Frank2 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:38 am

Grrr... :wink:

We'll see what the 11 a.m. advisory has to say...

Frank
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#7 Postby boca » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:41 am

Frank2 wrote:Grrr... :wink:

We'll see what the 11 a.m. advisory has to say...

Frank


I'm sure they'll say stationary still.
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#8 Postby Frank2 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 9:22 am

Hopefully some of that dry air dropping southward will make a difference:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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Looks to be.....

#9 Postby Windtalker1 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 9:35 am

Getting Stronger????? Look at all the Yellows starting to wrap around the Center and that "LARGE" Center of circulation is getting smaller. Maybe up to 65MPH now and Stationary.
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#10 Postby mf_dolphin » Thu Sep 08, 2005 9:37 am

It actually looks to me like the smaller circulation center may be trying to take over. Looking at the Mel radar you can definitely see the two different centers.
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#11 Postby Windtalker1 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 9:38 am

mf_dolphin wrote:It actually looks to me like the smaller circulation center may be trying to take over. Looking at the Mel radar you can definitely see the two different centers.
I agree also....center relocated more South?
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#12 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Sep 08, 2005 9:39 am

Windtalker1 wrote:
mf_dolphin wrote:It actually looks to me like the smaller circulation center may be trying to take over. Looking at the Mel radar you can definitely see the two different centers.
I agree also....center relocated more South?


I am agree there has been a larger center but, it looks like this latest blow up is trying to form a smaller center farther south. I don't even see the northerly component that nhc is calling for.
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#13 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 08, 2005 9:42 am

11am position

.1 degree south, none west or east.
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#14 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 9:43 am

good point brent...infact...the last 12+ hours there has been no N movement
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#15 Postby HurricaneGirl » Thu Sep 08, 2005 9:48 am

Brent wrote:11am position

.1 degree south, none west or east.

Yup!
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#16 Postby tracyswfla » Thu Sep 08, 2005 9:49 am

deltadog03 wrote:good point brent...infact...the last 12+ hours there has been no N movement


Now that doesn't make me feel at all confident!
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It makes...

#17 Postby Windtalker1 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 10:01 am

alot of us are uneasy....I still feel she will start a ENE movement by tonight to do her so called "LOOP" Just how far out she goes before coming back remains to be seen...I have a feeling she will head out to the East alot farther than the current thinking and loop back SW on her return making landfall in Broward or Palmbeach County. The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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#18 Postby Frank2 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 11:50 am

Per the NHC TCD, the models are more confident on an easterly motion through the period beginning tomorrow, though at a slow pace after Day 4 or 5.

They do indicate a small loop at the end of the period, but, according to the forecast plots, just a small one - not the extreme outcome mentioned above.

Frank

P.S. Per the latest radar loop, I'll stick by my original comment that a very slow eastward drift has begun - click on http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS. ... kmlb.shtml to view.
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Re: It makes...

#19 Postby Deenac813 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 11:56 am

Windtalker1 wrote:alot of us are uneasy....I still feel she will start a ENE movement by tonight to do her so called "LOOP" Just how far out she goes before coming back remains to be seen...I have a feeling she will head out to the East alot farther than the current thinking and loop back SW on her return making landfall in Broward or Palmbeach County. The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Dont even say it or think it!! :eek:
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#20 Postby shaggy » Thu Sep 08, 2005 12:11 pm

calling alandfall now is just sort of out in left field the pros say they have little confidence in the track forecast so naming aparticular county is bold!
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