Hurricane Ophelia in 48 hrs. says TAFB......

[dixiebreeze]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... testBW.gif

[Rainband]

well at least it seems to be pulling away from the coast in the graphic

[dixiebreeze]

True, Rainband, but the NHC maintains its forecast for a loop back to the SW within 4 to 5 days -- if not sooner.

[Rainband]

Guess it's a wait and see situation

[TampaFl]

well at least it seems to be pulling away from the coast in the graphic

FXUS62 KMLB 081422
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1025 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2005

...TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA A LITTLE STRONGER AND A LITTLE CLOSER....DISCUSSION...

OPHELIA EDGED A BIT SOUTHWESTWARD OVERNIGHT...CLOSER TO THE COAST...
AND ENTERED OUR OFFSHORE MARINE FORECAST AREA BASED ON REFLECTIVITY
AND VELOCITY DATA FROM THE NWS MELBOURNE DOPPLER RADAR. THAT PLACES
IT ABOUT 60 MILES EAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL. WITH OPHELIA A LITTLE
STRONGER AND A LITTLE CLOSER...EXPECT STRONGER GUSTS TODAY THAN WE
SAW YESTERDAY...ESP ALONG THE VOLUSIA AND N BREVARD COASTS. HAVE
SEEN 45 KT GUST AT BUOY 009 EARLIER THIS MORNING AND FREQUENT GUSTS
BETWEEN 40 AND 45 KNOTS AT THE CAPE WIND TOWERS (A BIT ELEVATED AT
54 FT). EXPECT NUMEROUS GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE TO CONTINUE
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF VOLUSIA AND N BREVARD WITH OCCASIONAL
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.


SHORT TERM FORECASTS ARE BEING ISSUED EVERY HOUR DESCRIBING THE
LOCATION AND RADAR TRENDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA.

FLOOD WATCH WILL BE EXTENDED UNTIL 4 AM FRI AND EXPANDED TO INCLUDE
SOUTHERN BREVARD TO ACCOUNT FOR ANY FURTHER WESTWARD JOG WHICH COULD
BRING THE MORE PERSISTENT HEAVY RAINS TO BREVARD COUNTY. NO CHANGES
TO THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES/ WARNINGS EXPECTED WITH THE NEXT
ADVISORY FROM NHC.

&&

.AVIATION...CIG/VSBY REDUCTIONS IN PRECIP WRAPPING AROUND OPHELIA
WILL CONTINUE TODAY...MORE WIDESPREAD IN NORTHERN SECTIONS. EXPECT
SCT MVFR AND ISOLD IFR CONDITIONS IN SQUALLS. WIND GUSTS AOA 35KT
MOST LIKELY AT TAF SITE DAB.

HAVE ISSUED AN AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING FOR DAB FOR 35-40 KNOT GUSTS
IN SQUALLS AS THEY MOVE ONSHORE THROUGH NOON...AND THIS MAY NEED TO
BE EXTENDED INTO THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH.
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET.
...FLOOD WATCH VOLUSIA/SEMINOLE/ORANGE/BREVARD TIL 4 AM FRI.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KELLY
LONG TERM....VOLKMER
TROP COORD...SPRATT/HAGEMEYER




[dixiebreeze]

well at least it seems to be pulling away from the coast in the graphic

FXUS62 KMLB 081422
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1025 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2005

...TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA A LITTLE STRONGER AND A LITTLE CLOSER....DISCUSSION...

OPHELIA EDGED A BIT SOUTHWESTWARD OVERNIGHT...CLOSER TO THE COAST...
AND ENTERED OUR OFFSHORE MARINE FORECAST AREA BASED ON REFLECTIVITY
AND VELOCITY DATA FROM THE NWS MELBOURNE DOPPLER RADAR. THAT PLACES
IT ABOUT 60 MILES EAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL. WITH OPHELIA A LITTLE
STRONGER AND A LITTLE CLOSER...EXPECT STRONGER GUSTS TODAY THAN WE
SAW YESTERDAY...ESP ALONG THE VOLUSIA AND N BREVARD COASTS. HAVE
SEEN 45 KT GUST AT BUOY 009 EARLIER THIS MORNING AND FREQUENT GUSTS
BETWEEN 40 AND 45 KNOTS AT THE CAPE WIND TOWERS (A BIT ELEVATED AT
54 FT). EXPECT NUMEROUS GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE TO CONTINUE
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF VOLUSIA AND N BREVARD WITH OCCASIONAL
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.


SHORT TERM FORECASTS ARE BEING ISSUED EVERY HOUR DESCRIBING THE
LOCATION AND RADAR TRENDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA.

FLOOD WATCH WILL BE EXTENDED UNTIL 4 AM FRI AND EXPANDED TO INCLUDE
SOUTHERN BREVARD TO ACCOUNT FOR ANY FURTHER WESTWARD JOG WHICH COULD
BRING THE MORE PERSISTENT HEAVY RAINS TO BREVARD COUNTY. NO CHANGES
TO THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES/ WARNINGS EXPECTED WITH THE NEXT
ADVISORY FROM NHC.

&&

.AVIATION...CIG/VSBY REDUCTIONS IN PRECIP WRAPPING AROUND OPHELIA
WILL CONTINUE TODAY...MORE WIDESPREAD IN NORTHERN SECTIONS. EXPECT
SCT MVFR AND ISOLD IFR CONDITIONS IN SQUALLS. WIND GUSTS AOA 35KT
MOST LIKELY AT TAF SITE DAB.

HAVE ISSUED AN AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING FOR DAB FOR 35-40 KNOT GUSTS
IN SQUALLS AS THEY MOVE ONSHORE THROUGH NOON...AND THIS MAY NEED TO
BE EXTENDED INTO THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH.
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET.
...FLOOD WATCH VOLUSIA/SEMINOLE/ORANGE/BREVARD TIL 4 AM FRI.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KELLY
LONG TERM....VOLKMER
TROP COORD...SPRATT/HAGEMEYER




Well, that seems to be news we haven't heard before. Thanks TampaFl