Is Ophelia expanding considerably or.....

[dixiebreeze]

is it just my imagination?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

[shaggy]

it certainly appears to be anice flare up and if it persist it may the catalyst to bump her pressure down and get to cane strength.

[Steve H.]

Its your imagination!! j/k. Yes she is ramping up right now, we'll see if this uptick brings her to near 'cane strength. Look at the visibles, they give you a better overall view of what's going on; IR can be deceiving at times. We had burnt orange over us for a time and not a drop of rain.

[Swimdude]

Sure looks like it. And the bad news is... Tropical storm force winds will very soon be moving onshore, and Ophelia isn't moving much, at all.

[cjrciadt]

Growing, but still pretty compact she can become a cane by tonight.

[dixiebreeze]

Growing, but still pretty compact she can become a cane by tonight.

Agree. If this keeps up, I'd say a 'cane by the 5 p.m. or maybe 8 p.m. disc.

[Frank2]

The Miami OCM's were downplaying Ophelia on the Noon newscasts, citing NHC's new forecast track, which now moves the system more eastward by Day 3-5.

Frank

[x-y-no]

Yes it is, and the center is not far from the middle of the deep convection now. The latests wind shear map still shows over 10 knots southerly shear, but I have to think that's eased a bit more over the last couple of hours.

If this isn't just a flareup but sticks around through the afternoon, I think she gets to Cat 1 this evening.

[canegrl04]

The biggest concern in the immediate future is Ophelia parking herself off the Florida coast and continually drenching the coast

[dixiebreeze]

Her western outflow is edging very close to Tampa Bay area now.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

[kevin]

Why are you posting IR when its daylight out? Just curious.

[no advance]

I agree with steve IR is overrated. I have seen many times when we had orange and it was not even raining. Steve head on down to the beach and watch the surfers. They are powering today. There are certain posters here that like to begin a new topics when really there is not nothing new. There are others who basically like to dominate.

[Brent]

Why are you posting IR when its daylight out? Just curious.

LOL

and why rely on satellite estimates when recon is out? I never understood that either.

[otowntiger]

Her western outflow is edging very close to Tampa Bay area now.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

Like the other posters have stated that really means nothing at this point. We, here in Sanford (20 miles NNE of Orlando) have gotten very little rain, some breezy conditions and clouds and we are under that orange color. Looks can be decieving. You'd think by the apprearance of that satellite image we would be getting hammered, not the case.

[sponger]

WINDS HAVE PICKED UP CONSIDERABLY HERE IN JACKSONVILLE. aS THE CENTER HAS NOT MOVED MUCH A GOOD INDICATION OF BROADER WIND FIELD. On the plus side, it has been fairly dry since yesterday afternoon. The dryer air made a huge difference here.

[Stangfriik]

Her western outflow is edging very close to Tampa Bay area now.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg

Like the other posters have stated that really means nothing at this point. We, here in Sanford (20 miles NNE of Orlando) have gotten very little rain, some breezy conditions and clouds and we are under that orange color. Looks can be decieving. You'd think by the apprearance of that satellite image we would be getting hammered, not the case.

hey I'm in Sanford too. Behind the Lowe's in hidden lakes!

[sponger]

St Augustine Pier reporting sustained winds of 31 knots with gusts to 36.

[no advance]

Constant drizzle occasional heavy rain with NNW at about 15mph.

[no advance]

Which someone new would like to start a new thread. Observations now NW 20mph and gusty. Steady drizzle.

[Jevo]

Is Ophelia expanding considerably or..... Eating cheetos with invisible pixies