Looks like the season has shifted.....

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dixiebreeze
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Looks like the season has shifted.....

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Sep 10, 2005 11:41 am

from Cape Verde to the Caribbean and GOM:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg
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#2 Postby Duffy » Sat Sep 10, 2005 12:16 pm

there was never a Cape Verde Season to begin with lol
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#3 Postby artist » Sat Sep 10, 2005 12:18 pm

well- maybe not technically - but it was waves from the Cape Verde that have all developed lately - just not until further out.
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#4 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Sep 10, 2005 12:20 pm

Duffy wrote:there was never a Cape Verde Season to begin with lol


That's true. Maybe a Central Atlantic Season has shifted to the WATL, Caribbean, and GOM season.
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#5 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Sep 10, 2005 12:21 pm

I think October is gonna be a dangerous month. Since nothing wants to develop far ou in the Atlantic, we really could see alot of systems form close to home.

<RICKY>
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#6 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Sep 10, 2005 12:23 pm

Specially in October and November we could see more NATEs & OPHELIAs form in the subtropics.
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#7 Postby Patrick99 » Sat Sep 10, 2005 9:18 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:I think October is gonna be a dangerous month. Since nothing wants to develop far ou in the Atlantic, we really could see alot of systems form close to home.

<RICKY>


Could be...but then again, maybe there will be systems far out in the Atlantic. October can be a strange month.

Some Octobers, the season really seems to wind down, but others can bring the pain. No one should discount October, or even November, especially here in South Florida.

People who don't know much about weather (like people I work with) always seem to think we're in the clear after August and September. But just look at the historical maps - at times, Tampa to WPB, including the Keys, has taken a relentless pounding in October. Even in November - we almost got drilled by Kate and Michelle, and had to deal with Gordon's rain.

I still maintain that one of these days, a Mitch or Michelle-type storm is going to blow up south of Cuba in October or November, and will make it up here, at Cat. 3-4 strength, with relatively little time to prepare. It won't be like a Cape Verde storm where we watch it churn toward us for a whole week.
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#8 Postby wxmann_91 » Sat Sep 10, 2005 9:22 pm

The Caribbean has been untouched since Emily. The stage is set for a big October Caribbean hurricane IMO once the MJO comes back and the shear subsides.
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#9 Postby Anonymous » Sat Sep 10, 2005 9:26 pm

Remember...just because the Cape Verde waves don't develop RIGHT AFTER Africa, does not mean they are not Cape Verde Hurricanes. Emily was a Cape Verde hurricane....as was Hurricane Irene.

Also, every storm from Arlene to Maria....formed from a Cape Verde wave.
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#10 Postby beachbum_al » Sat Sep 10, 2005 9:35 pm

Well lets see if I go by the fact that one of my children's birthday are messed up by a storm it will be around October 8. And maybe next week since I reschedule my baby's birthday party for next Saturday thanks to Katrina.
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#11 Postby gatorcane » Sat Sep 10, 2005 9:41 pm

Remember...just because the Cape Verde waves don't develop RIGHT AFTER Africa, does not mean they are not Cape Verde Hurricanes. Emily was a Cape Verde hurricane....as was Hurricane Irene.

Also, every storm from Arlene to Maria....formed from a Cape Verde wave.


We have had no true CV hurricanes this season. A CV storm has to form east of a certain lattitude (mets help me out here).
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#12 Postby SouthernWx » Sat Sep 10, 2005 9:47 pm

Patrick99 wrote:People who don't know much about weather (like people I work with) always seem to think we're in the clear after August and September. But just look at the historical maps - at times, Tampa to WPB, including the Keys, has taken a relentless pounding in October. Even in November - we almost got drilled by Kate and Michelle, and had to deal with Gordon's rain.

I still maintain that one of these days, a Mitch or Michelle-type storm is going to blow up south of Cuba in October or November, and will make it up here, at Cat. 3-4 strength, with relatively little time to prepare. It won't be like a Cape Verde storm where we watch it churn toward us for a whole week.


Excellent points....it's only a matter of time :eek:

Historically, October is the 2nd most active month for landfalling major hurricanes in southern Florida.....and there's currently an immense amount of "high octane" fuel in the warm waters of the western Caribbean.

PW
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#13 Postby gatorcane » Sat Sep 10, 2005 9:50 pm

Excellent points....it's only a matter of time

Historically, October is the 2nd most active month for landfalling major hurricanes in southern Florida.....and there's currently an immense amount of "high octane" fuel in the warm waters of the western Caribbean.

PW


The first peak of the hurricane season is Sept. 10 but there is a second peak in mid october sometime. :eek:
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#14 Postby Rainband » Sat Sep 10, 2005 10:39 pm

October is when the West coast gets storms as well. Wonder if our luck will hold all year????
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#15 Postby wxcrazytwo » Sat Sep 10, 2005 11:15 pm

boca_chris wrote:
Remember...just because the Cape Verde waves don't develop RIGHT AFTER Africa, does not mean they are not Cape Verde Hurricanes. Emily was a Cape Verde hurricane....as was Hurricane Irene.

Also, every storm from Arlene to Maria....formed from a Cape Verde wave.


We have had no true CV hurricanes this season. A CV storm has to form east of a certain lattitude (mets help me out here).


It is kinda funny you make these claims that the season is dead, but have no clue on the latitude for which they form... :roll:
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#16 Postby Swimdude » Sat Sep 10, 2005 11:36 pm

Speaking of which, y'all, WELCOME TO THE TOP OF THE MOUNTAIN! It's September 10th!

In my opinion, we're done with the CV season, or VERY close to it... I'm suspecting we'll see another monster or two before the year is out...
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#17 Postby jopatura » Sun Sep 11, 2005 2:16 am

If a CV storm forms in the right place, the water temps are still in the upper-80's, per the wunderground water temp map. Don't count anything out yet until November 30.
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#18 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Sep 11, 2005 12:44 pm

Thats why Im worried about October and November. Its because the Carib hasnt been touched since Emily went by so the waters are still very warm and could spark up some strong homebrew systems.

<RICKY>
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#19 Postby dolebot_Broward_NW » Sun Sep 11, 2005 3:26 pm

Ahem.

It's LONGITUDE.

Latitude are the east/west lines,

Longitude are the north/south lines.

You are both wrong LOL.

You can't go east of any latitude.
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#20 Postby x-y-no » Sun Sep 11, 2005 3:52 pm

dolebot_Broward_NW wrote:Ahem.

It's LONGITUDE.

Latitude are the east/west lines,

Longitude are the north/south lines.

You are both wrong LOL.

You can't go east of any latitude.


You mean my planned expedition to the East Pole is doomed? :eek:

:lol:
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