Model consensus varies in terms of where the system will go with a spread from the islands to out to sea. Though almost all global models develop this system.
Nogaps:a threat to islands?
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/nogapstc ... hour=144hr
GFS:close call?
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... hour=144hr
Ukmet:out to sea?
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ukmtc2.c ... hour=144hr
Canadian:island threat?
shows a weakness over the islands
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... hour=144hr
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