Waiting game for the extreme Outer Banks

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Storm Chaser
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Waiting game for the extreme Outer Banks

#1 Postby Storm Chaser » Wed Sep 14, 2005 8:29 pm

I tell you, this girl is just taking her time. Up in the Nags Head/Kill Devil Hills area, nothing. There's some wind. It's pretty good golf weather actually. It's soon going to change, but that waiting game has to be killing those people up there.
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#2 Postby shaggy » Wed Sep 14, 2005 9:00 pm

her worst is still yet to come i think.The wind impacts will slowly fade away except for the OBX.There has been planty of water shoved into the rivers and sounds and when she gets far enough out and her winds shift you guys are in trouble on the OBX.I would suspect ocracoake and hatteras will see a very bad sound side flooding event as all that water rushes back east!
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#3 Postby Storm Chaser » Wed Sep 14, 2005 9:19 pm

By the time she's over, I'm afraid you're going to see a lot more "damage" than her Cat 1 title originally suggested. She's a monster. Why mandatory evacuations weren't called for the outer banks is beyond me. Those people that stayed behind are in for a sad treat tonight and on into tomorrow.
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#4 Postby gotoman38 » Wed Sep 14, 2005 9:29 pm

Mandatory Evac was issued for Hatteras Island on Tues. effective at 1pm local.
http://www.darenc.com/EmgyMgmt/Alert/index.asp
(See bulletin #6)

I wonder what effect O will have on the "Isabel Inlet" cut between Hatteras Village and Frisco.... I looked at the area this summer while staying in Avon a little further up the coast.... 2 months after the village was cut off from the Cape and the beaches further north, Hwy 12 reopened.
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#5 Postby Storm Chaser » Wed Sep 14, 2005 9:31 pm

I apologize, buddy. I meant the Nags Head region.
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#6 Postby fci » Wed Sep 14, 2005 9:32 pm

Dr Steve on the TWC did an excellent job of explaining the surge potential on the front side and back side of the barrier islands based on the current ENE track.

I usually trash TWC for some of their awful anchors (of which there are a few!) but he did a great job.
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#7 Postby Storm Chaser » Wed Sep 14, 2005 9:40 pm

Steve is an amazing asset to the Weather Channel family; you're very correct.
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#8 Postby nequad » Wed Sep 14, 2005 9:48 pm

I tell you, this girl is just taking her time. Up in the Nags Head/Kill Devil Hills area, nothing. There's some wind. It's pretty good golf weather actually. It's soon going to change, but that waiting game has to be killing those people up there.


Yeah...it's agonizing. Let's get on with it already.

I live in Kill Devil Hills and radar shows our first real band approaching form the south. Just now crossing north of Oregon Inlet.


Anybody notice the spokes rotating around the center on radar? Awesome...

http://weather.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p19r0/si.kmhx.shtml
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#9 Postby THead » Wed Sep 14, 2005 9:52 pm

Storm Chaser wrote:By the time she's over, I'm afraid you're going to see a lot more "damage" than her Cat 1 title originally suggested. She's a monster. Why mandatory evacuations weren't called for the outer banks is beyond me. Those people that stayed behind are in for a sad treat tonight and on into tomorrow.


I would think the Outer Banks residents would be very familiar with what to do when a hurricane is heading their way, and to call it a monster is just a bit over the edge. Floyd barrelling towards Fla. , Ivan steaming towards Jamaica, and Katrina in the Gulf were monsters, to name a few. While O could be a very dangerous storm for those that are for some reason unprepared, its really not what I'd call a monster. Just my two cents.
:wink:
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#10 Postby gotoman38 » Wed Sep 14, 2005 9:54 pm

No problem Storm Chaser....

My guess is that the areas 50 mi. N of the Cape will have much less impact from O.

It looks to me like she's tracking even further S than the forecast, keeping the eyewall offshore along the Bogue Banks, Okracoke, and southern Hatteras Is. before becoming a fish again.

Still, those inlets cut from the many storms might reopen (Canadian Hole btwn Frisco and Avon comes to mind).... or others (see Isabel... almost 2 years to the day!).
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#11 Postby Storm Chaser » Wed Sep 14, 2005 9:56 pm

When you have a system that is just going to possibly sit there for the next 24 hours, the rain that will wash through that region is very monsterous, in my opinion. You mix the slow speed, the small land area, and the constant rain; the scene isn't pretty.
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#12 Postby Storm Chaser » Wed Sep 14, 2005 9:59 pm

When you're out on those Outer Banks, you're part of the Atlantic. There's not much moving room out there. This son of a gun needs to get in and get out. If it lingers as long as projected, you're going to see a devastation; even at a Cat 1.
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#13 Postby THead » Wed Sep 14, 2005 10:00 pm

Storm Chaser wrote:When you have a system that is just going to possibly sit there for the next 24 hours, the rain that will wash through that region is very monsterous, in my opinion. You mix the slow speed, the small land area, and the constant rain; the scene isn't pretty.


Fair enough. I just have a different definition or idea of a monster. To me its when a system ceases to be just a storm, and takes on a "look" on radar or sat, of being just some kind of beast, spawned from the depths of hell!!
:grrr: :grrr: :wink:
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#14 Postby gotoman38 » Wed Sep 14, 2005 10:01 pm

Exactly! When you move a storm like this at an incredibly slow (6 knots at 11pm) we're talking hours and hours (and hours.....) of damage.

Does anyone know how this might correlate to Safir Simpson destruction categories? +1?

Isabel was a strong 2 just S of here.
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#15 Postby THead » Wed Sep 14, 2005 10:05 pm

gotoman38 wrote:Exactly! When you move a storm like this at an incredibly slow (6 knots at 11pm) we're talking hours and hours (and hours.....) of damage.

Does anyone know how this might correlate to Safir Simpson destruction categories? +1?

Isabel was a strong 2 just S of here.


Yeah, kind of like Frances last year. I thought that thing would never end, and I was nowhere near the worst of it. I never denied flooding wouldn't be a problem with O, just hoping the hurricane hardy vets of the outer banks would have been prepared as much as possible.
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#16 Postby Storm Chaser » Wed Sep 14, 2005 10:12 pm

Unfortunately, nearly every hurricane comes with its own set of circumstances and consequences for staying behind. It'd be good to believe that everyone out there knows what they are doing, but this hurricane has a mind of her own. Even experienced fighters can be KO'd.
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#17 Postby aOl » Wed Sep 14, 2005 10:13 pm

Storm Chaser wrote:When you're out on those Outer Banks, you're part of the Atlantic. There's not much moving room out there. This son of a gun needs to get in and get out. If it lingers as long as projected, you're going to see a devastation; even at a Cat 1.


You people don't know what "devastation" is, come to the Gulf Coast where the real hurricanes are like Katrina, Ivan, and Dennis, then you'll know what devastation is.
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#18 Postby Storm Chaser » Wed Sep 14, 2005 10:19 pm

I don't think anyone would ever compare this hurricane to Katrina. This hurricane isn't even in the same ballpark as Katrina. But, from a rain standpoint, this hurricane has a potential to be very devastating. I have certainly not likened this hurricane to Katrina. I never will compare the two.
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#19 Postby NC George » Wed Sep 14, 2005 10:22 pm

6 years ago we were flooded up to 20 feet deep in Floyd, people being rescued from rooftops by helicoptors, and houses on the OB have been destroyed plenty of times, so I think we (better than most) have a firm grasp on the situation in NOLA.
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#20 Postby Storm Chaser » Wed Sep 14, 2005 10:24 pm

Why aren't the coastal residents boarding up? That question has even baffled the field reporters there.
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