CMC joins the Pack

[Vortex]

Our system nne of PR now has another model indicating some development. 12z CMC places a closed low over the bahamas in 72 hrs heading towards S. FL.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... hour=072hr

[Vortex]

12 GFS also has a closed low near the Florida Keys in about 4 dys. I really think this system bears very close watching especially since the environment will become much more conducive in about 2 days. Also, most indications from the long range globals tend to threaten the W. Gulf after Florida.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_102l.gif

[Duffy]

yep, Accuweather has this possibly going into the Gulf by next Monday or Tuesday

[CHRISTY]

didnt katrina have a similar setup? what if this grows into a cane and hits southflorida!if anyone has model links and info keep posting! thanks

[Swimdude]

didnt katrina have a similar setup? what if this grows into a cane and hits southflorida!if anyone has model links and info keep posting! thanks

Yes, Katrina had a VERY similar set up... But lets not scare people. Katrina isn't a *normal* occurence by any standards.

[susan]

Yes,..Just because blob "A" turned into Katrina and hit NOLA does not mean blob "B" will do the same...

[fci]

Yes,..Just because blob "A" turned into Katrina and hit NOLA does not mean blob "B" will do the same...

Let's hope blob "A" or "B" does not turn into blob "P-Phillippe" or blob "R"- Rita!!!

[Canelaw99]

We just don't need this right now. There are still tons of debris piles everywhere that would become missiles with tropical winds.

[CHRISTY]

to me its flareing up more today then 95L?

[susan]

I don't think anyone across the GOM needs this storm...Some are still cleaning up from last year/this year, the obvious mess from Katrina and to Texas who is full to the brim with evacuees..... ..Yup, these two would be welcomed fish storms by me....

[WeatherEmperor]

to me its flareing up more today then 95L?

yeah your right. i noticed it too. Are there any model runs supporting this system yet?

<RICKY>

[HurricaneQueen]

We just don't need this right now. There are still tons of debris piles everywhere that would become missiles with tropical winds.

With all of the media focused on NO, how easy it is to forget that S.E. Florida was also hit by Katrina and sustained damage. I've been so upset with the minimal coverage of MS and AL and almost forgot that my neighbors to the East are also recovering. Good luck to all of you.

Lynn

[susan]

Yeah, not to mention those affected by Dennis after being slammed by Ivan the year before........I have heard there were towns wiped off the map in MS....Sad...

[Canelaw99]

Thank you Hurricane Queen We definitely weren't hit like N.O., AL, and MS were, but we still have a huge tree down by our entrance gate at my condo, and we have friends that are trying to fix their gates, etc. It's just a mess with all the debris piles around town and fences just propped up.