UNOFFICIAL..Rita #2; CAT 3 in 72 hours and near FL Keys

[ncweatherwizard]

Quote Storm2K:

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Quote Nencweather.com:
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Forecast 2:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... /rita.html

Intensity forecast is much more aggressive, bringing the storm to hurricane intensity in 24 hours and Category 3 strength in three days, which is alongside SHIPS but may be overdoing it this time. Afterward, I do level off intensity until dry air in the GOM is displaced somehow, and the track is slowed down in correspondence with a northerly component to the track as a result of a weakness in ridging.

Scott

[ncweatherwizard]

Track graphic now available at above link.

Scott

[hicksta]

I agree with you except i think it will be a little more N. Mostly because of the relocation of the center and also i tend to think once it starts to move WNW itl gradually tend more WNNW or NW. Just a thought thought

[wxman57]

With the strong ridge over the Gulf coast the first 72 hours, I wouldn't count on a gradual WNW turn to Texas. Instead, watch for a motion a little south of west up through Thursday morning then a sharper hook NW-N toward the mid TX coast.