How Vulnerable is NO and MS coast...

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jax

How Vulnerable is NO and MS coast...

#1 Postby jax » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:50 am

to TS or Cat 1 storm effects... let alone the possibility of
a direct hit. If the storm is a Cat 3 near the TX / LA boarder
the SE wind and surge will effect Lake Panchatrain...

The Mississippi coast can't handle another tidal surge...

roofs are in horrible shape everywhere...
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#2 Postby skysummit » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:51 am

Roofs?????? There are NO roofs left on the Miss. Gulf Coast. I've been there all week.
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jax

#3 Postby jax » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:52 am

skysummit wrote:Roofs?????? There are NO roofs left on the Miss. Gulf Coast. I've been there all week.


I've been here too... the ones that are left and hurt bad...
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#4 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:56 am

The thought of it is mind bogling...This is not like Frances Jeanne Scenario if it did get that close it would be more like Andrew /Hugo like scenario...Down right insanity...
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#5 Postby jax » Mon Sep 19, 2005 10:37 am

NHC is admitting that the official forcast track that takes
Rita into Galveston bay in 5 days is still west of the model
consenses... I dred seeing the next run... if they shift east
again... it's gonna go down hill fast here.

this was in the 11am discussion...

"The official forecast is adjusted to the
north or right over the Gulf...but not as far as the model
consensus."
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#6 Postby timNms » Mon Sep 19, 2005 10:48 am

Rita has me worried. My wife is already talking about going to her sister's house in Tennessee. Our area can't stand another direct hit from a major....or minor for that matter. Lots of blue roofs here and still lots of houses and mobile homes with trees on them. Communication is, at best, very limited. Cell phone service is still sporatic and regular telephone service is off and on at my house lol.

This could be bad!
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#7 Postby canegrl04 » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:04 am

If Rita impacts the same areas as Katrina,it will make the recovery that much more difficult. And it will impact gas prices,too.Wouls not be surprised if it resulted in shortages :(

And NO will cease to exist
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#8 Postby alicia-w » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:06 am

timNms wrote:Rita has me worried. My wife is already talking about going to her sister's house in Tennessee. Our area can't stand another direct hit from a major....or minor for that matter. Lots of blue roofs here and still lots of houses and mobile homes with trees on them. Communication is, at best, very limited. Cell phone service is still sporatic and regular telephone service is off and on at my house lol.

This could be bad!


Tennessee is very nice this time of year.
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#9 Postby LAwxrgal » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:11 am

It could be beyond terrible, as many people in my area are just returning home and trying to get back to some semblance of normalcy after Katrina. It would complicate the recovery here.

The New Orleans area and Mississippi cannot take another hit, period. Heck, we can't even take a brush.

If Rita hits here or just to the west, what's left of SELA would be gone :cry: A hit to the west of here would put me in the NE quadrant or even the eye wall.

Not to mention, there won't be any hotel rooms left for those who would be leaving again after just returning home.

If that happens I may consider moving to Minnesota.
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#10 Postby dhweather » Mon Sep 19, 2005 11:24 am

This makes me want to puke.


Today is the first day with net access, and I get this Rita stuff.


I was in Pass Christian and Long Beach yesterday. The surge was
no doubt in the 25-30 foot range.

I spent a while talking with Florida State Troopers on patrol, here
from Miami-Dade, and they still shake their heads and say
"Andrew had nothing on this, I've never seen anything like this"
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#11 Postby HurryKane » Mon Sep 19, 2005 1:22 pm

I had much the same conversation with some Florida National Guard troops last week while crawling around Bay St. Louis looking for a friend's things.

There are some intact roofs down here, but they're pretty few and far between. Hancock County, MS simply cannot take another hit, period. There are several towns that are barely existing at this point.
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#12 Postby TSmith274 » Mon Sep 19, 2005 1:31 pm

dhweather, I hear ya. Today is my first day back in New Orleans. What worries me about Rita is the angle she's approaching. Even if she passes well south of New Orleans en route to Texas, Lake Ponchartrain water levels would rise dramatically. And, as I'm sure all of you have learned in this 3-week crash course on New Orleans' levee system, we can't handle anything else. The levees are weakened and will be severely tested with Rita no matter what. The head of the U.S. Army Corp of Engineers saying that a few thunderstorms may cause the levees to fail again doesn't help either.
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