Even if Rita passes south of Louisiana

#1 Postby **MGC** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 3:24 pm

The easterly wind will cause the tide to rise along the La and Ms coasts. Will the levees hold in New Orleans? Has anyone heard any official word on the conditon of the levee repairs?. Can the levees even hold for a cat-1????.....MGC

CYCLONE MIKE · #2 Postby **CYCLONE MIKE** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 3:37 pm

MGC, the last I heard was they were basically temporarily repaired. Kinda like patched up. They were reported as very weak and they were worried about any kind of heavy rain event much less from another hurricane. No one seems to be talking about the chances of Rita coming up this way. I don't know if they are in denial or not wanting to freak out everyone just yet.

LAStorm01 · #3 Postby **LAStorm01** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 3:42 pm

Army Corps of Engineers put a band aid on an amputation, basically.

Raebie · #4 Postby **Raebie** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 4:23 pm

Held together with spit, sandbags and a prayer. But hey, let's fire up some red rice & beans and party!

#5 Postby **linkerweather** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 4:42 pm

Mayor Nagin mentioned this afternoon that the levees could hold up to 9 inches of additional rainfall and/or a 3 foot surge. That is why the suspension of returning to the city was issued.

#6 Postby **gboudx** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 4:46 pm

The NO NWS had this to say in the afternoon AFD. BTW, this is their 1st AFD since Katrina hit. Mobile has been handling things for them up until now.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
150 AM CDT MON SEP 19 2005

.DISCUSSION...MODELS CONTINUE TO BE INCONSISTENT ON TRACK OF NEXT
TROPICAL SYSTEM...TS RITA. AVN/GFS MODEL WHICH HAS BEEN FAIRLY GOOD
WITH THE TRACKS THIS SEASON CONTINUES TO TACK THE STORM
WEST-NORTHWEST INTO THE GULF AND TURNING IT NORTH TOWARDS THE NORTH
TEXAS COAST WITH LANDFALL SATURDAY. THIS TRACK WILL INITIALLY KEEP
OUR AREA IN THE DRY SUBSIDENCE SIDE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS. WILL
BRING IN ISOLATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY THURSDAY AND INCREASE
PROBABILITY OF CONVECTION FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BASED ON CURRENT
TRACK.
CURRENT MAIN CONCERN IS TWOFOLD...DEVELOPING SWELLS AHEAD OF THE
STORM MOVING NORTHEAST TOWARD OUR COASTAL WATERS INCREASING THE
TIDES BY 2 TO 3 FEET THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY. THIS ALONG WITH AN EAST
WIND FLOW OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND 4 TO 5 FOOT SEAS WILL CAUSE A
PROBLEM WITH ST BERNARD IF THE LEVEES AND GATES ARE OPEN. PARISHES
AROUND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN WILL EXPERIENCE TIDAL INCREASES OF 2 TO 3
FEET AND ENDANGER LOW AREAS SUBJECT TO TIDAL FLOODING.

SECONDLY...IN THE TRACK CHANGES ANY FURTHER TO THE EAST...SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA WILL BE CAPABLE OF EXPERIENCING 4 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL
WHICH WILL COMPOUND RECOVERY EFFORTS IN THE SOUTHERN
PARISHES.

Even if Rita passes south of Louisiana

Even if Rita passes south of Louisiana

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