Models Showing North and NE Turn

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gk1
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Models Showing North and NE Turn

#1 Postby gk1 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:09 pm

near and after landfall. This is not good news for LA. folks and a big change from earlier. I am sure that models will flip-flop all week. The main issue for LA. is that this storm needs to move fast as it was doing earlier today. A slower moving Rita allows the turn to be further east. I don't wish it on Texas. I am praying for all.
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#2 Postby jwayne » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:10 pm

post link to models to which you are referring please.
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#3 Postby skysummit » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:10 pm

Which models? I don't see any changes from earlier.?.?
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#4 Postby djtil » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:11 pm

no models are showing much affect of rita on any areas affected by katrina.
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#5 Postby Ixolib » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:12 pm

Link / Links??
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#6 Postby rockyman » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:13 pm

The BAMM (which is pretty much useless for this storm) shows a NE turn BEFORE landfall:

Image

Let's see if any other models show this in the upcoming runs.
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#7 Postby TS Zack » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:13 pm

Image
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#8 Postby TS Zack » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:14 pm

Sorry, computer kept freezing. Thought it wasn't working.
Last edited by TS Zack on Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#9 Postby skysummit » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:14 pm

Oh...that's nothing we have to worry about yet in La.
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#10 Postby cajungal » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:14 pm

http://www.wunderground.com One of the newest models ran at 8 p.m. shifted east to TX/LA border. I hear people saying that it is not one a good model, though.
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#11 Postby TS Zack » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:15 pm

Image
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#12 Postby Jagno » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:16 pm

Sky; I'm in SW Louisiana and it does worry me! :(
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#13 Postby LAwxrgal » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:16 pm

TS Zack wrote:Image


Is this in the three-day window? Look at the convergence....
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#14 Postby skysummit » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:16 pm

cajungal wrote:www.wunderground.com One of the newest models ran at 8 p.m. shifted east to TX/LA border. I hear people saying that it is not one a good model, though.


Oh....the BAMM.
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#15 Postby Jagno » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:16 pm

sorry, duplicate
Last edited by Jagno on Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#16 Postby Brent » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:17 pm

Where's my flip flops?

:lol:
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#17 Postby cajungal » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:18 pm

I am not too concerned yet. The trend would have to continue with the rest of the models for me to start worrying. But, if you live in SW LA over to Morgan City, I would be paying real close attention to any changes.
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#18 Postby jwayne » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:18 pm

are those the newest runs? (ie 00z runs)
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#19 Postby skysummit » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:18 pm

Jagno wrote:Sky; I'm in SW Louisiana and it does worry me! :(


Yea, you're right. Sorry about that! If I was in SW La., I would be worried too. :)
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#20 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:19 pm

skysummit wrote:
cajungal wrote:www.wunderground.com One of the newest models ran at 8 p.m. shifted east to TX/LA border. I hear people saying that it is not one a good model, though.


Oh....the BAMM.


The GFS shows a hit just east of Galveston Bay and a NNE turn shortly after landfall.
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