Texas Is lucky

f5 · #1 Postby f5 » Sat Sep 24, 2005 1:35 am

we got some impacts but it wasn't another Carla which we were expecting

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #2 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Sep 24, 2005 1:36 am

We will find out tomarrow.

#3 Postby **vbhoutex** » Sat Sep 24, 2005 1:44 am

There will be major damage in the Beaumont and Port Arthur areas. The rest of us in SE TX have been very lucky. I'm still going to have a mess to clean up in the morning from limbs down, but I can handle that a lot better than what we had after Alicia.

#4 Postby **Ivanhater** » Sat Sep 24, 2005 1:48 am

vbhoutex wrote:There will be major damage in the Beaumont and Port Arthur areas. The rest of us in SE TX have been very lucky. I'm still going to have a mess to clean up in the morning from limbs down, but I can handle that a lot better than what we had after Alicia.

houston may have dodged the first bullet, but if it loops back around and dumps 24 inches of rain on yall like some models are hinting out, yall have not dodged the second bullet

southerngale · #5 Postby **southerngale** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 1:36 pm

Texas is lucky? Lucky? I can think of a lot of words, but lucky isn't one of them!

Anonymous · #6 Postby **Anonymous** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 1:47 pm

I think Texas is extremely lucky. They had not had a hurricane landfall now...since July 2003, and have not had a major hurricane landfall since Bret in 1999. However...their last major hurricane landfall that was destructive...was Alicia in 1983. Hopefully this luck will last.

BLHutch · #7 Postby **BLHutch** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 1:48 pm

southerngale wrote:Texas is lucky? Lucky? I can think of a lot of words, but lucky isn't one of them!

I agree. My family in Orange certainly would not consider themselves lucky. Actually, the are not in Orange right now. They are living with me. (thus the reason they would not consider themselves lucky)

I guess it is a matter of perspective.

Brady

#8 Postby **jasons2k** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 1:49 pm

Considering it was a $10 billion storm versus a $100-$200 billion storm, yes that is lucky. Yes, those in the Golden Triangle would beg to differ considering they took the brunt of it, but Houston-Galveston was largely spared.

BLHutch · #9 Postby **BLHutch** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 1:50 pm

I might add though, that I feel extremely lucky. After all, it could be me having to live with them. (assuming they would have me!)

Brady

#10 Postby **jasons2k** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 1:55 pm

One other thing to add, and it is sad it is at the expense of our friends east of us, but in a sense the US as a whole is lucky too. If Rita had hit the Port of Houston and all the petro facilities in the region, it would have amplified everything Katrina started and a severe economic recession would have quickly ensued.

KatDaddy · #11 Postby **KatDaddy** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 1:57 pm

I second that. The Houston-Galveston areas are extremely lucky. Next year we may not be as lucky. We have whole year to improve all of our hurricane plans. We are in a very active pattern.

BLHutch · #12 Postby **BLHutch** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 2:00 pm

I agree. This evacuation was sort of a test run, if you will. Or a shake down cruise. There are a lot of things that still need to be worked out. Next time, it may be for real. I hope that our elected officials do not let their guard down and think that Rita was as close as we will ever come to a major hurricane. I think we've got some decent people in the right places. I hope they will work to improve our local disaster planning.

Brady

#13 Postby **wxman57** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 2:00 pm

Anyone else notice that the major hurricane landfalls are shifting westward each season? Florida/AL in 2004, MS-LA in 2005, ????? in 2006?

#14 Postby **jasons2k** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 2:03 pm

BLHutch wrote:I agree. This evacuation was sort of a test run, if you will. Or a shake down cruise. There are a lot of things that still need to be worked out. Next time, it may be for real. I hope that our elected officials do not let their guard down and think that Rita was as close as we will ever come to a major hurricane. I think we've got some decent people in the right places. I hope they will work to improve our local disaster planning.

Brady

After seeing the list of names appointed to the Evacuation Task Force I am very confident the issues we encountered with Rita will be resolved in the future.

#15 Postby **jasons2k** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 2:05 pm

wxman57 wrote:Anyone else notice that the major hurricane landfalls are shifting westward each season? Florida/AL in 2004, MS-LA in 2005, ????? in 2006?

How uncanny you say that; I was just thinking about that earlier today. I hope it's just a coincidence.

#16 Postby **dhweather** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 2:13 pm

wxman57 wrote:Anyone else notice that the major hurricane landfalls are shifting westward each season? Florida/AL in 2004, MS-LA in 2005, ????? in 2006?

I mentioned this to my wife after Rita - Florida/Alabama last year,
Alabama/Mississippi/Louisiana this year, the trend would say Texas
next year.

:idea:

southerngale · #17 Postby **southerngale** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 2:14 pm

~Floydbuster wrote:I think Texas is extremely lucky. They had not had a hurricane landfall now...since July 2003, and have not had a major hurricane landfall since Bret in 1999. However...their last major hurricane landfall that was destructive...was Alicia in 1983. Hopefully this luck will last.

What luck will last? We just got hit by one and there's extensive damage to a large area in Southeast Texas and SW Louisiana. I realize we're not as important as Houston and New Orleans to most people, but we are very unlucky in my area. I've been through hell and back (as have many here)...I don't call that lucky.

jschlitz...if that's the case, does that mean that everyone who gets by a hurricane from here on out will be lucky if it doesn't exceed the cost of Katrina? Katrina was extraordinarily devastating and I doubt there will be a repeat of that anytime soon. I don't believe the final damage costs of Rita have been released, but I'm pretty sure it will be in the top 5 costliest hurricanes to strike the U.S. mainland. Again, not lucky.

#18 Postby **jasons2k** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 2:21 pm

southerngale wrote:
~Floydbuster wrote:I think Texas is extremely lucky. They had not had a hurricane landfall now...since July 2003, and have not had a major hurricane landfall since Bret in 1999. However...their last major hurricane landfall that was destructive...was Alicia in 1983. Hopefully this luck will last.

What luck will last? We just got hit by one and there's extensive damage to a large area in Southeast Texas and SW Louisiana. I realize we're not as important as Houston and New Orleans to most people, but we are very unlucky in my area. I've been through hell and back (as have many here)...I don't call that lucky.

jschlitz...if that's the case, does that mean that everyone who gets by a hurricane from here on out will be lucky if it doesn't exceed the cost of Katrina? Katrina was extraordinarily devastating and I doubt there will be a repeat of that anytime soon. I don't believe the final damage costs of Rita have been released, but I'm pretty sure it will be in the top 5 costliest hurricanes to strike the U.S. mainland. Again, not lucky.

I didn't say anything to the effect that a storm must not exceed Katrina for it to be considered lucky. Emotions aside, Rita was forecasted to be a $100-$200 billion storm by hitting Houston-Galveston. It's going to be 5-10% of that total. How is that not lucky??

#19 Postby **dhweather** » Tue Oct 04, 2005 2:42 pm

I think it's lucky for Houston/Galveston to not have been directly hit.

f5 · #20 Postby f5 » Tue Oct 04, 2005 2:55 pm

this was a Carla/Galveston Hurricane of 1900 Scenario that everyone was trumping about you know the Freeport landfall with the eye riding due north along hwy 288 35 foot storm surge flattens Galveston.Surge goes up thru galveston bay into the bayous puts downtown houston under water.thankfully it didn't materalize

Texas Is lucky

Texas Is lucky

Who is online