Will Cancun shelters hold up ?

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Praxus
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Will Cancun shelters hold up ?

#1 Postby Praxus » Thu Oct 20, 2005 4:17 pm

It is now looking like the mexican riviera will get a sustained lashing
from a category 5 monster. After seeing what a category 3 at landfall
can do in mississipi etc with katrina...and now we are talking a cat 5 or perhaps 4 at landfall...for much longer than katrina - do those people
know what is in store ? They moved tourists and will move locals
to shelters; but what shelter is safe in a stalled cat 5 ??

I'm worried about MAJOR loss of life unless they get people WELL inland.
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Scorpion

#2 Postby Scorpion » Thu Oct 20, 2005 4:32 pm

I hear theres also a hurricane party at this place called Senor Frogs. How would that hold up I wonder?
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#3 Postby inotherwords » Thu Oct 20, 2005 4:33 pm

We would think they know what's in store because of Gilbert. I would guess that, because of that experience, when they rebuilt they took shelters into consideration and built to higher code standards, but who knows?
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Derek Ortt

#4 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Oct 20, 2005 4:38 pm

he southern half of Cozemul did go through Emily, a 120KT hurricane already this year and had no loss of life.
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#5 Postby bigmoney755 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 4:39 pm

This will hit as a strengthening cat 5. Remember katrina was a weakening cat 4 and hit the coast as a strong 3. A strengthening 5 would be hellish.
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#6 Postby terpfan » Thu Oct 20, 2005 4:49 pm

Acccording to the NHC the YP is due for approx 12 hours of 120-145 knot winds...doesn't sound like my kind of party...
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#7 Postby N2FSU » Thu Oct 20, 2005 4:49 pm

I've been to Senor Frogs... it won't be there in 2 days.

:(
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#8 Postby gtalum » Thu Oct 20, 2005 4:50 pm

Scorpion wrote:I hear theres also a hurricane party at this place called Senor Frogs. How would that hold up I wonder?


If that's true, it's incredibly stupid. I'm not sayign I don't believe it. People at Senor Frog's and Carlos & Charlie's are crazy.

Both places sit right on the water (albeit on the wets side of Cozumel).
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#9 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 20, 2005 4:51 pm

I just heard on CNN that they're still offering Snorkel Tours in Cozumel. :roll: I don't guess they're that worried.
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#10 Postby lisa0825 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 4:53 pm

gtalum wrote:
Scorpion wrote:I hear theres also a hurricane party at this place called Senor Frogs. How would that hold up I wonder?


If that's true, it's incredibly stupid. I'm not sayign I don't believe it. People at Senor Frog's and Carlos & Charlie's are crazy.

Both places sit right on the water (albeit on the wets side of Cozumel).


Are they talking about S.F's on Cozumel or in Cancun? I heard from a friend who toured the area that everyone was preparing to shelter. Maybe the folks in Cancun are crazy enough to party since that Sr Frog's isn't as close to the water as the one in Cozumel. Actually, now that I am thinking about it, Cozumel has been under curfew since 3pm, so I highly doubt it was their Frog's that is having a party.
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#11 Postby inotherwords » Thu Oct 20, 2005 4:55 pm

skysummit wrote:I just heard on CNN that they're still offering Snorkel Tours in Cozumel. :roll: I don't guess they're that worried.


Now there's one way to beat the storm, stay underwater until it goes by. LOL.
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#12 Postby gtalum » Thu Oct 20, 2005 4:55 pm

I assuemd Cozumel, but it coul dbe the one in Cacun. Still crazy. The resort area of Cancun (where Senor Frog's is, of course) is on a sandspit that sticks out into the Caribbean. Unlike Cozumel, a big cane could wash the whole peninsula away if it wanted to.
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#13 Postby lisa0825 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 4:56 pm

inotherwords wrote:
skysummit wrote:I just heard on CNN that they're still offering Snorkel Tours in Cozumel. :roll: I don't guess they're that worried.


Now there's one way to beat the storm, stay underwater until it goes by. LOL.


Nope... curfew since 3pm
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#14 Postby cajungal » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:16 pm

I have been to Cozumel twice. And I have been to Carlos and Charlies. The crowds over there are just about as wild as what I was used to seeing on Bourbon Street.
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#15 Postby HurricaneQueen » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:33 pm

I just spoke to my son whose good friends were in Cancun. His friends got out but the father of one and two others got stuck. They are not being sent to a shelter but are set to ride it out on the 3rd floor of a hotel sitting right on the beach. They are still in contact but son didn't have details on why they were not moving. These are grown men (50-60 y/o) not kids so I'm guessing there is no place for them to go. The airport was a mess but at least Sean's friends are safe. I wish everyone on the YP good luck and the strength to get through this.

Lynn
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#16 Postby gilbert88 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:41 pm

Cancun will fare just fine. They went thru Gilbert after all.
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#17 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:47 pm

HurricaneQueen wrote:I just spoke to my son whose good friends were in Cancun. His friends got out but the father of one and two others got stuck. They are not being sent to a shelter but are set to ride it out on the 3rd floor of a hotel sitting right on the beach. They are still in contact but son didn't have details on why they were not moving. These are grown men (50-60 y/o) not kids so I'm guessing there is no place for them to go. The airport was a mess but at least Sean's friends are safe. I wish everyone on the YP good luck and the strength to get through this.

Lynn


Lynn...

If they happen to have a car, I would try and get out of there and get to the west side of the peninsula. Third story on the beach, depending on the potential strength of Wilma is not safe.

Scott
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superfly

#18 Postby superfly » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:50 pm

The area is built to withstand powerful hurricanes after what happened to them with Gilbert.
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#19 Postby KatDaddy » Thu Oct 20, 2005 5:52 pm

Hurricane party at Sr Frogs?! Now that just plain stupid. That place will be blasted along with all of Cancun. The Cancun radar say it all. They are in for a serious storm for many hours.
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#20 Postby thunderchief » Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:03 pm

many of the hotels on the beach at cancun are very large steel/concrete structures that will remain structurally intact. Also the beach rises quickely and the the various surge characteristics, other than intensity, are poor. Windows might get blown out, the first floor might get surged a little. Compared with the rest of the region, that is not nearly as well built, those large hotels are a relatively good spot to be.
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