Disclaimer: This thread does not imply or suggest that there exists a powerful storm in the Atlantic Basin right now. It merely is here to ask about the possibility of another strong storm forming before the end of the season and what factors might influence this.
So, without further ado.
Do people here feel that there will be one (or more) powerful storms left this season? Why, why not and how strong?
Remember: The sesason was supposed to end after Emily, and after Irene and after Katrina and after Rita and definitely after Wilma... when will it actually end?
Another Powerful Storm?
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My thoughts:
There is certainly a chance of another strong storm from here on out. Storms of significant strength have occured before, although the only notable one is Lenny in 1999. Still, Lenny was nearly a Cat 5, winds 155mph and it occured in mid-late November. This is 2005, year of the oddities and year of the elevated SST.
However, a lot of the oceans have now been tapped. The central Caribbean seems to still be a warm spot, but it usually is a graveyard for storms. The Gulf is closed to strong storms. Its 75 degree waters won't support anything beyond a Cat 1 or hybrid. Wilma's probably stirred up the NW Carribean waters sufficiently to cool them off and the SW Carribean is just not a place for significant storms to exist. Real estate is getting limited.
There is certainly a chance of another strong storm from here on out. Storms of significant strength have occured before, although the only notable one is Lenny in 1999. Still, Lenny was nearly a Cat 5, winds 155mph and it occured in mid-late November. This is 2005, year of the oddities and year of the elevated SST.
However, a lot of the oceans have now been tapped. The central Caribbean seems to still be a warm spot, but it usually is a graveyard for storms. The Gulf is closed to strong storms. Its 75 degree waters won't support anything beyond a Cat 1 or hybrid. Wilma's probably stirred up the NW Carribean waters sufficiently to cool them off and the SW Carribean is just not a place for significant storms to exist. Real estate is getting limited.
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TheEuropean
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quandary wrote:Wilma's probably stirred up the NW Carribean waters sufficiently to cool them off and the SW Carribean is just not a place for significant storms to exist. Real estate is getting limited.
What's about Hurricane Joan, which exploded just in the same area, where No.26 is and then slammed down on Bluefields, Nicaragua? Bluefields was nerly totaly destroyed.
<IMG SRC="http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1988/JOAN/track.gif">
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