tropical storm watches posted for Texas and LA

wrkh99 · #1 Postby **wrkh99** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 9:50 am

posted June 29, 2003 10:40 AM
TROPICAL STORM BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SUN JUN 29 2003

...TROPICAL STORM BILL FORMS IN SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SAN
LUIS PASS TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BILL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.5 WEST OR ABOUT 460 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS.

BILL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES MAINLY TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...23.5 N... 91.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE

#2 Postby **wx247** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 10:38 am

Unless it begins to organize a little more it looks like most of the convection/winds/rain will be mainly on the east side. I am kind of suprised the TS Watch isn't a little farther east than what it is.

southerngale · #3 Postby **southerngale** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 11:24 am

Wow...I just got home from church and came to see if we had a TD yet and I'm under a tropical storm warning!! :o

#4 Postby **wx247** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 11:27 am

Just a watch Kelly!

Rainband · #5 Postby **Rainband** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 11:28 am

southerngale wrote:Wow...I just got home from church and came to see if we had a TD yet and I'm under a tropical storm warning!! :o

You under a watch :wink:

southerngale · #6 Postby **southerngale** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 11:30 am

Oops, I knew that. I know it's a watch...just typed the wrong thing. I was surprised to see we had Bill already.

That's what I get for trying to type and read at the same time.

#7 Postby **wx247** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 11:33 am

Yes... it became Bill quickly!

Colin · #8 Postby **Colin** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 1:01 pm

Looks like this is coming your way Kelly... please stay safe but make sure to keep us updated! :o

#9 Postby **wx247** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 1:38 pm

Lisa Moser mentioned a little while ago that advisories will probably extended as far east as the Alabama coast. Any thoughts/comments on that? Seems reasonable to me.

OtherHD · #10 Postby **OtherHD** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 1:44 pm

Not if Mozer said it.

#11 Postby **wx247** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 1:46 pm

We are NOT getting into that on here HD. I wanted to know about the possibility of watches/warnings further east. Take your ill humor elsewhere! :roll:

#12 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 1:48 pm

Yes Garrett those watches and later warnings will be extended eastward as Bill slows down and changes the track to a more north one and maybe by landfall a NE one as you may know the east part of the system from the center is the strongest one.

#13 Postby **wx247** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 1:51 pm

Yes... I am concerned around the New Orleans area. That town can't handle much water at all. :o

Lindaloo · #14 Postby **Lindaloo** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 1:54 pm

wx247 wrote:Yes... I am concerned around the New Orleans area. That town can't handle much water at all. :o

You are correct with that statement wx. They are what I call the cup and saucer city. You saw the pics of the Big Easy that Steve posted in another thread. That rainfall was just a drop in the bucket compared to what could come out of this system.

#15 Postby **wx247** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 1:58 pm

Just read a statement out of the NWS in New Orleans... as much as 6-8" of rain could fall between now and Monday night alone!!! :o That doesn't even take into account rainfall from Monday night into Wednesday.

southerngale · #16 Postby **southerngale** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 1:59 pm

Well Colin, the official track has it coming in my direction right now but that will probably be shifted east eventually since they expect it to turn more to the nnw.

#17 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 2:00 pm

Hey guys let's hope this thing doesn't stall because I can't imagine what that could do for those areas.

southerngale · #18 Postby **southerngale** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 2:02 pm

Yeah Garrett...if this thing stalls after landfall which I did hear was possible, that would be very bad news for New Orleans if it goes there.

Colin · #19 Postby **Colin** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 2:06 pm

Man, this is going to dump disastrous rains somewhere... can't tell right now obviously, but I feel that it will be somewhere in Louisiana... I really sure hope that it's NOT New Orleans, because like you all have been saying, they can't handle much rain at ALL! :o :o :o

#20 Postby **wx247** » Sun Jun 29, 2003 2:08 pm

Didn't realize how close to the coast Houma, La is. Anyone heard anything from her?

tropical storm watches posted for Texas and LA

tropical storm watches posted for Texas and LA

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