New model tracks from 1200 UTC are split in GOM

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cycloneye
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New model tracks from 1200 UTC are split in GOM

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 09, 2003 8:16 am

http://www.wright-weather.com/data/wxp/ ... 091259.gif

http://www.wright-weather.com/data/wxp/ ... udette.gif

Because of that difference of the models all the GOMERS from Brownsville to the Panhandle of florida should keep watching the progress of Claudette.
Last edited by cycloneye on Wed Jul 09, 2003 8:34 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby wx247 » Wed Jul 09, 2003 8:22 am

The system has got to slow down! If not, it is bye, bye Claudette as I said in another topic. When it slows and/or shifts WNW is the key here to where it will eventually go I believe.
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wrkh99

#3 Postby wrkh99 » Wed Jul 09, 2003 9:26 am

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#4 Postby Air Force Met » Wed Jul 09, 2003 9:49 am

Doesn't look that bad? Yeah...the convection is nice but it is on the NE side of the LLC. Therefore, all the latent heat is being sheared away and the system will nto deepen. If it won't deepen...then it will continue to be steered by low level flow into Belize/Honduras. The NHC says steering will weaken in 36 horus. In 36 hours...at 21 kts...it's sitting in Mexico.

It looks very bad. If she doesn't slow down...she's done. You can't build a system when your convection is sheared from the LLC.
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