Tropical Depression Alberto Forecasts (Final Forecast)

[ncweatherwizard]

All forecasts for the cyclone will be posted in this thread. Discussion and comments welcome.

(I can't find the Storm2K disclaimer...for this one, I'll put mine up there, and I'll get everything straight next time. I'm rushing right now...)

Disclaimer:

Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable always first consult and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional source of information except nencweather.com.

You can also check this out if you haven't already:

http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... ction.html

Tropical Depression One Forecast 1:

http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... 6/one.html

Scott

[ncweatherwizard]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NHC and NWS products.


From Nencweather.com:

Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable always first consult
and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This
forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional
source of information except nencweather.com


If this is a tropical cyclone, then so be it. It's difficult to tell at night. Not much new to this forecast.

Forecast 2:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... 6/one.html

[ncweatherwizard]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NHC and NWS products.


From Nencweather.com:

Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable always first consult
and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This
forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional
source of information except nencweather.com

Forecast 3:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... berto.html

Center drifted farther west than expected, but a northward component seems to be persistent over the past few hours. Low pressure center on visible looks farther east than the last Recon estimate. Later in the forecast period, track is along the previous two.

Scott

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Good job as aways.

[ncweatherwizard]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NHC and NWS products.


From Nencweather.com:

Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable always first consult
and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This
forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional
source of information except nencweather.com

Forecast 4:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... berto.html

Keep in mind that I started writing this forecast earlier, so the new Recon data is not reported. Didn't expect this to happen, but I can't say that I'm surprised.

Scott

[ncweatherwizard]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NHC and NWS products.


From Nencweather.com:

Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable always first consult
and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This
forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional
source of information except nencweather.com

Forecast 5:

http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... berto.html

Rain and tornado threat through Southeast. Baroclinic intensification over North Atlantic in shipping interests.

Scott