May need to watch NE of the Islands as well

[Derek Ortt]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... hour=096hr

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... hour=096hr

not entire sure f this is purely tropical or not, have not had a chance to look at many other things besides SLP

That said, these two models are far more aggressive in developing this low than the Bahamian one. If both develop, it would probably be the first time that we ever had 3 June storms

[Aquawind]

Looks like a couple of opportunities..

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... BW_sm3.gif

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/WATL_latest.gif

[Scorpion]

Wow, it really sets a precedent about what could happen come August

[Derek Ortt]

it cna also go the other way as well as there is a historicla negative coorelation between June and later activity (though 2005 would argue that this is not always the case)

[Aquawind]

Interesting those are the 12Z models.. I noticed them hinting in the 06Z runs as well..

[Cyclenall]

If this happens then I do beileve we have a early start to the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season. 3 named storms in June in my mind is a early start. If this does happen, I'm right about an early season start. Also, I thought there was another year that had 3 june storms??

[SouthFloridawx]

A couple of the models have been hinting at this for the past couple of days. I'm not sure which but, according to the Cyclone Phase page CMC and GFS keep it warm core.

[Aquawind]

A couple of the models have been hinting at this for the past couple of days. I'm not sure which but, according to the Cyclone Phase page CMC and GFS keep it warm core.

06Z sure does..
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/gfs ... 06/58.html

[curtadams]

CMC, GFS, and NOGAPS are all forecasting this http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/ CMC and GFS have been forecasting this off and on for several days. GFS cyclone analysis predicts warm-core low, cold-core high and a large gale-force radius (200 km? hard to read those spots). http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/gfs ... 06/58.html Pressures are high but the Mid-Atlantic background is so high (circa 1025) that even 1010 is a substantial storm.

Actually this looks like it would be a pretty interesting storm.

[jlauderdal]

Wow, it really sets a precedent about what could happen come August

no it doesnt.

[skysummit]

Wow, it really sets a precedent about what could happen come August

no it doesnt.

I think the keyword here is "could".

[StJoe]

Wow, it really sets a precedent about what could happen come August

no it doesnt.

I think the keyword here is "could".

I really think the key word here is WOW

[skysummit]

Wow, it really sets a precedent about what could happen come August

no it doesnt.

I think the keyword here is "could".

I really think the key word here is WOW

LOL....true.

[jlauderdal]

Wow, it really sets a precedent about what could happen come August

no it doesnt.

I think the keyword here is "could".

if it sets a precedent than its a done deal and thus the word could is not applicable thus my response.

as orrt rightfully stated it can go both ways so there is no precedent.

[StJoe]

Wow, it really sets a precedent about what could happen come August

no it doesnt.

I think the keyword here is "could".

if it sets a precedent than its a done deal and thus the word could is not applicable thus my response.

as orrt rightfully stated it can go both ways so there is no precedent.

Key Phrase of the 2006 season thus far: go both ways

[jlauderdal]

Wow, it really sets a precedent about what could happen come August

no it doesnt.

I think the keyword here is "could".

if it sets a precedent than its a done deal and thus the word could is not applicable thus my response.

as orrt rightfully stated it can go both ways so there is no precedent.

Key Phrase of the 2006 season thus far: go both ways

exactly, there is no precedent and there wont be a precedent set. it could mean it will be active and it could mean it wont be active and thus a precedent wont be set.

[skysummit]

How much wood could a woodchuck chuck if a woodchuck could chuck wood?

[StJoe]

jlauderdal,

Who's on 1st?

[StJoe]

funny thread

[jlauderdal]

How much wood could a woodchuck chuck if a woodchuck could chuck wood?

It depends on what the meaning of the word 'is' is