Suspicious area North of Puerto Rico

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boca
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Suspicious area North of Puerto Rico

#1 Postby boca » Sat Jun 24, 2006 11:39 am

I'm not sure if this was referenced in area NE of the islands thread but popcorn convection is developing in this area which I think is an extension of 91L.
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#2 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Sat Jun 24, 2006 11:47 am

I agree. It is just as interesting as 91L, maybe even a bit more so. I was actually shocked that the NHC didn't even give it a passing comment in the 11:30 AM Update.
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#3 Postby boca » Sat Jun 24, 2006 11:50 am

Maybe they think its part of 91L which i'm not sure if it is or isn't at this point.
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#4 Postby boca » Sat Jun 24, 2006 2:30 pm

I'm shocked their no bites on this thread yet its looking pretty good.
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#5 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat Jun 24, 2006 2:46 pm

Well steve I think this area of showers and thunderstorms is what the models might eventually be eluding to.

Image
Last edited by SouthFloridawx on Sat Jun 24, 2006 2:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#6 Postby boca » Sat Jun 24, 2006 2:49 pm

Tomorrow the fish should be biting on this future potential system in the works north of PR.
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#7 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jun 24, 2006 2:50 pm

If this doe's form and the system at 34/50 which looks to be a subtropical depression already develops more convection. Then we could get to chirst. Which would be cool. I remember chirst in 2000 was a dud!
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#8 Postby AnnularCane » Sat Jun 24, 2006 2:52 pm

I'm afraid I'm not too impressed with it at this point, unless there is something about it I am not seeing.
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#9 Postby boca » Sat Jun 24, 2006 2:52 pm

IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE AXIS MOVES NORTH AND RE-ESTABLISHES ITSELF ACROSS THE LAKE
OKEECHOBEE REGION WEDNESDAY AND ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA BY FRIDAY.
THIS IS OUR MORE SEASONABLE PATTERN AND THEREFORE WE SHOULD RETURN
TO SEASONABLE LEVELS OF DIURNAL CONVECTION. EASTERLY FLOW WILL
CONCENTRATE AFTERNOON CONVECTION INLAND AND ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
GULF COAST WITH MORNING SHOWERS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.

Living in Florida I'll be keeping an eye on this one for future headaches into middle of next week.
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#10 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Jun 24, 2006 2:54 pm

actually it was chris...id remember...its my name! :)
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#11 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jun 24, 2006 3:19 pm

Yes - this area is looking a bit suspicious - we'll have to keep watching it...
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#12 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:29 pm

One thing that I am wondering is once 91L moves inland, what will happen with this area N of Puerto Rico as it gets left behind? I think we should watch it because convection sure looks to be firing this evening.
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#13 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:31 pm

Almost all of the models atleast last night have been showing this area develop for the past few days starting tomorrow.
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#14 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:32 pm

JamesFromMaine2 wrote:Almost all of the models atleast last night have been showing this area develop for the past few days starting tomorrow.


wouldn't surprise me, do you have a link?
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#15 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:34 pm

The NHC agrees, their futuristic maps show a low developing in the area.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb-atl.shtml
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#16 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:35 pm

HURAKAN wrote:The NHC agrees, their futuristic maps show a low developing in the area.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb-atl.shtml


Well get ready - this board is going to get hopping soon on this thread 8-)
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#17 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:39 pm

What is interesting to note is that a couple of observations I have looked at in that area are showing W and SW winds now. Not sure if that is due to thunderstorms but it is insteresting that E winds have dominated until recently:

Punta Cana in the Dominican Republic:
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MDPC.html
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#18 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:42 pm

CMC

GFS Develops something but not like it was yesterday

NOGAPS
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#19 Postby The Hurricaner » Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:45 pm

HURAKAN wrote:The NHC agrees, their futuristic maps show a low developing in the area.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb-atl.shtml


Why in the surface forecast for 24hrs takes it into C/SF and the next one down puts it in panhandle? and that low off puerto rico.. will it affect the US or will it be a fish spinner?
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#20 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jun 24, 2006 4:45 pm

JamesFromMaine2 wrote:CMC

GFS Develops something but not like it was yesterday

NOGAPS


Based on those models I dont see much north of Puerto Rico...
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