Central Atlantic Convection

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
AtlanticWind
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1895
Age: 66
Joined: Sun Aug 08, 2004 9:57 pm
Location: Plantation,Fla

Central Atlantic Convection

#1 Postby AtlanticWind » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:13 pm

Looks like some turning in a ball of convection around 37 west 12 north.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146178
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#2 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:18 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-vis.html

I see a weak turning on the cloud elements in that area.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10165
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

#3 Postby Blown Away » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:25 pm

Yep
0 likes   

User avatar
AtlanticWind
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1895
Age: 66
Joined: Sun Aug 08, 2004 9:57 pm
Location: Plantation,Fla

#4 Postby AtlanticWind » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:30 pm

Can't really tell if it is a lower level or a mid level spin.
0 likes   

User avatar
Wthrman13
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 502
Joined: Sun Jul 06, 2003 12:44 pm
Location: West Lafayette, IN
Contact:

#5 Postby Wthrman13 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:30 pm

Looks like the western end of that large monsoon circulation anchored to west Africa. Interesting how several of the global models have been insisting on developing a tropical cyclone out of that at various times and locations over the last few days. I think that once a distinct low pressure area becomes dominant, it definitely has a chance to develop, but things need to get more progressive. Right now everything is backed up and new waves that come off the coast just keep getting absorbed into the trough.
0 likes   

User avatar
Swimdude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2270
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2004 11:57 am
Location: Houston, TX

#6 Postby Swimdude » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:40 pm

Sure looks better than Chris right now. :roll:
0 likes   

Jim Cantore

#7 Postby Jim Cantore » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:41 pm

Swimdude wrote:Sure looks better than Chris right now. :roll:


True
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38115
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#8 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:43 pm

Swimdude wrote:Sure looks better than Chris right now. :roll:


I think everything looks better than Chris. :wink: :P
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146178
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#9 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:45 pm

Brent wrote:
Swimdude wrote:Sure looks better than Chris right now. :roll:


I think everything looks better than Chris. :wink: :P


Even the upper lows. :lol:
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
AtlanticWind
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1895
Age: 66
Joined: Sun Aug 08, 2004 9:57 pm
Location: Plantation,Fla

#10 Postby AtlanticWind » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:58 pm

Maybe They could divert the recon flight, Of course they would need to refuel
0 likes   

jhamps10

#11 Postby jhamps10 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 2:59 pm

yeah, but seriously, I think this will be debby by sunday if it keeps developing.
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#12 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Aug 04, 2006 3:00 pm

this monsoon trough is located in about the only part of the basin that is not dominated by upper lows
0 likes   

Anthonyl
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 97
Joined: Wed Apr 20, 2005 4:20 pm

#13 Postby Anthonyl » Fri Aug 04, 2006 4:33 pm

In all honesty this system looks very aggressive and the GFS has been showing some kind of closed vorticy( if that is the right word)moving through the islands sometime Monday evening.This needs to be closely monitored.
0 likes   

User avatar
Hybridstorm_November2001
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2813
Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:50 pm
Location: SW New Brunswick, Canada
Contact:

#14 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Fri Aug 04, 2006 5:25 pm

It is impressive as far as both convection and size goes, that much is certain.
0 likes   

Anthonyl
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 97
Joined: Wed Apr 20, 2005 4:20 pm

#15 Postby Anthonyl » Fri Aug 04, 2006 5:52 pm

Just a question, does NHC have a fix on this system? The surface analysis maps on the 18z run seems to initialize this wave further to the west.
0 likes   

User avatar
HurricaneMaster_PR
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 795
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 6:23 pm
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#16 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Sat Aug 05, 2006 10:19 am

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SAT AUG 5 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHRIS ARE LOCATED ABOUT 70 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
REMAINS LIMITED AND THE SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF REGENERATION. THE
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS.

AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVED SOUTHWESTWARD FROM THE SOUTHERN
UNITED STATES INTO THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO THIS MORNING IS
PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA. SURFACE PRESSURE ARE HIGH IN THE AREA AND DEVELOPMENT IS
NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 590 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
WESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BEVEN
0 likes   

User avatar
ConvergenceZone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5201
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
Location: Northern California

#17 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sat Aug 05, 2006 10:29 am

Does anyone have any good updated Satellite link of the areas we are watching in the Atlantic?? I know the Africa Satellite photos don't update very often, but since they are off the coast now, what Satellite photo should I be looking at that updates a bit more often??

This will be an exciting week for potential development, no doubt.

Thanx in advance!

Dusty

P.S. I'm glad that Chris is dead since it was headed for land, and to think that I doubted all of the models, hehe...
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 23 guests