already august 19th, is this season normal???

[willjnewton]

can a expert on hear please tell me, is this 2006 storm season will get very active very soon???Because I thought that it is very much normal for this 2006 storm season to be quiet on the 19th of august but do you all think that the season will ramp up Rapidly in Early september???because I thought that this is normal for it to be Quiet???and I thought the gfs forecast model mentions any development down the road by a sigificant east coast hurricane threat, OR USED TO DID???please explain okay, thanks and can someone answer my Last question please okay, thanks

[miamicanes177]

I'm not an expert but I can tell you that with 30-40kts of shear in the Atlantic you do not need to be concerned about a hurricane. Shear has and continues to dominate the Atlantic. In tonights TWO, the NHC said that upper level winds were highly unfavorable for development of the system the GFS has been developing into a hurricane. Yes, things could change. But at the present time we will get 0 tropical storm formation, much less a hurricane.

[willjnewton]

and at least I know that this 2006 storm season is normal, I guess, but based on the steering current patterns, I know nobody knows for sure but which AREA does the experts think that will be most at risk for this 2006 storm season???because I am getting so bored with this 2006 hurricane season and I need someone to tell me,
I know it may sound old and stupid but I am getting so bored with this Storm season, though and does the gfs forecast model at 360-384 hour the very much updated Run has a east coast threat or a FISH storm??please explain okay, thanks

[cycloneye]

and at least I know that this 2006 storm season is normal, I guess, but based on the steering current patterns, I know nobody knows for sure but which AREA does the experts think that will be most at risk for this 2006 storm season???because I am getting so bored with this 2006 hurricane season and I need someone to tell me,
I know it may sound old and stupid but I am getting so bored with this Storm season, though and does the gfs forecast model at 360-384 hour the very much updated Run has a east coast threat or a FISH storm??please explain okay, thanks

The 18z run of the GFS model has the system moving well east of the U.S East Coast and well away from the caribbean islands and Bermuda.Will, that means the system is considered a fish because if it tracks that way not affecting any landmasses in the Western Hemisphere.

[flyingphish]

How about a nice game of chess?

[willjnewton]

but does the gfs forecast model still have the intense storm system but its fish am I correct???

[cycloneye]

How about a nice game of chess?

Check your PM box.

[DESTRUCTION5]

I count 5 candy bars Will...

[miamicanes177]

but does the gfs forecast model still have the intense storm system but its fish am I correct???

it really does not matter what the GFS says at this point. The NHC said tonight that upper level winds are "highly unfavorable" for development. You can not get development with high wind shear. The 30-40kts of shear in the Atlantic is protecting the US at this time.

[cycloneye]

I count 5 candy bars Will...

Please check your PM box.

[willjnewton]

okay you all please lock this threaD, okay thanks because I already read the answers and I have checked the pm box

[cycloneye]

William requested this thread to be locked and that will occur.