Storm2k Hurricane landfall Map Update 12:30PM

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chadtm80

Storm2k Hurricane landfall Map Update 12:30PM

#1 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Jul 15, 2003 7:38 am

Image


Storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...
accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...can be
expected in the warning area near and to the north of where the
center crosses the coast. A storm surge of 5 ft above normal tide
levels has been reported at Galveston Pleasure Pier so far this
morning. In addition... large swells have been impacting the
shorelines elsewhere along the Texas coast and are creating above
normal tides and dangerous surf conditions.

Storm total rainfall of 5 to 8 inches is possible in association
with Claudette.

Isolated tornadoes are possible along the upper and central Texas
coastal areas.
Last edited by chadtm80 on Tue Jul 15, 2003 11:49 am, edited 4 times in total.
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#2 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Jul 15, 2003 7:47 am

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#3 Postby Guest » Tue Jul 15, 2003 7:51 am

Nice update Chad...............:)
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#4 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Jul 15, 2003 8:01 am

Image
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#5 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Jul 15, 2003 8:13 am

Map to be updated at 9:30, then every hour there after
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#6 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 15, 2003 8:16 am

Awesome map and radars as always Chad.
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#7 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Jul 15, 2003 8:23 am

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#8 Postby JCT777 » Tue Jul 15, 2003 8:24 am

Great map and radar image, Chad. Looks like Claudette will be making landfall within the next few hours.
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#9 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Jul 15, 2003 8:25 am

The American Red Cross has opened shelters in northwest Houston and Rosenberg to accommodate residents who have evacuated due to Hurricane Claudette.


The shelter is located at St. Maximilian Church, 10135 West Road, Houston.


Evacuees from Galveston County can reach the church by taking Interstate 45 North to exit 51, I-610 West. Follow 610 West to exit 13B, 290 West (toward Austin). From 290, take the Jones Road exit, and then travel 1.3 miles to West Road. Turn right on West Road. The church is located on West Road between White Oak Bayou and Chester Park Drive (about one mile from the exit).


The Red Cross has also opened a shelter in Rosenberg at the Navarro Middle School, located at 4700 Avenue N.


No shelters will be operated in Galveston County.
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#10 Postby Amanzi » Tue Jul 15, 2003 8:26 am

Great maps Chad! Thanks :)
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#11 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Jul 15, 2003 8:49 am

Map Updated 9:30am EST
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#12 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Jul 15, 2003 9:16 am

Eye just coming on shore over Palacios and Matagorda ... Hold on to your butts
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#13 Postby GalvestonDuck » Tue Jul 15, 2003 9:19 am

I was just coming here to ask -- why are we being told that landfall is 3 hours away? It's obviously there now.
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#14 Postby GalvestonDuck » Tue Jul 15, 2003 9:20 am

Here's what I was referring to above, from the UTMB website:

Claudette just off the Texas coast; landfall expected within hours
(posted 8:45 a.m.)
The center of Claudette is about 35 miles east of the barrier island on the outside of Matagorda Bay. Movement is to the west-northwest at about 15 mph. At this faster speed, the center of Claudette will move ashore into Matagorda Bay in less than 3 hours. The center of Claudette should track across central to northeastern Matagorda Bay then westward to just north of Victoria by early this afternoon. Claudette will be weakening quickly by this afternoon as the center moves farther inland. By late this afternoon, Claudette will be well inland and weakening to very minimal tropical storm strength if not a depression.

The Galveston area is likely to experience severe rainfall, possibly severe thunderstorms and sustained 25 mph winds over the next few hours. Tides in the Galveston area are running about 4-6 feet above normal. These tides will be diminishing gradually by early this afternoon.

As UTMB continues to monitor Claudette's progress, its hospitals, clinics, schools and offices are expected to be open as normal. Employees should continue to pay close attention to the progress of this storm. Those with homes in evacuation areas should discuss their options with supervisors. Remember: it is not safe to drive across roadways covered by water. Although Seawall Boulevard is usually the best route to campus, this morning employees should use Broadway as a route to work if possible. Please contact your supervisor as soon as possible if you anticipate or experience a problem arriving at work.
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#15 Postby vbhoutex » Tue Jul 15, 2003 9:29 am

Best way to explain it is that landfall is not a point, but an area about 15-20 miles across. Since it is moving more westerly that is not a "total landfall" for lack of better words.

Neither Palacios or Matagorda, which are both in the eye now, are going to experience a long period in the eye since they are in the northern part of it. Places to the west, like Port Oconnor will have about an hour in the eye since the movement will take her directly over Port O. will experience "landfall".

In my estimation landfall has occurred, but I guess the NHC defines it a little differently.
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#16 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Jul 15, 2003 9:31 am

Landfall is landfall.. If the eye is over land isnt that suppose to be landfall?
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#17 Postby GalvestonDuck » Tue Jul 15, 2003 9:39 am

Ah...I understand now. Thanks, VB!
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#18 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Jul 15, 2003 9:48 am

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#19 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Jul 15, 2003 9:49 am

WTNT34 KNHC 151437
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE CLAUDETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT TUE JUL 15 2003

...EYE OF CLAUDETTE MOVING ONTO THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE TEXAS COAST FROM
BAFFIN BAY TO HIGH ISLAND.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
FOR THE LOUISIANA COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS COAST NORTH OF HIGH ISLAND TO SABINE PASS.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS DISCONTINUED SOUTH
OF BAFFIN BAY TO BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CLAUDETTE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.1 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES
EAST OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS.

CLAUDETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION
SHOULD BRING THE EYE OF CLAUDETTE ACROSS THE TEXAS COAST IN THE
PORT OCONNOR TO PALACIOS AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DATA INDICATES PART OF THE
EYE IS ALREADY MOVING ONTO THE COAST. WHEN THE EYE PASSES
OVERHEAD...THE WINDS WILL DECREASE TO NEAR CALM...AND THEN INCREASE
TO EQUAL OR EVEN GREATER FORCE THAN BEFORE THE EYE PASSED. DO NOT
VENTURE OUT DURING THE PASSAGE OF THE EYE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER THE EYE OF CLAUDETTE MOVES
INLAND.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
MIDDLE TEXAS COAST...WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. LARGE SWELLS HAVE
BEEN IMPACTING THE SHORELINES ELSEWHERE ALONG THE TEXAS COAST AND
ARE CREATING ABOVE NORMAL TIDES AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 8 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION
WITH CLAUDETTE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE UPPER AND MIDDLE TEXAS
COASTAL AREAS THROUGH TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...28.5 N... 96.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 981 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT NOON CDT AND 2 PM CDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN
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#20 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Jul 15, 2003 11:49 am

Updated 12:30 pm


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