Looks like it may be trying to build some low-level circulation. Just doesn't have the east-bound part worked out.
Or, then again, it may poof.
Our next storm at 25N 65W
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StrongWind
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 240
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:02 pm
- Location: Deerfield Beach, FL
Our next storm at 25N 65W
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DAVE440
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 192
- Joined: Tue Sep 07, 2004 5:12 pm
- Location: Ft.Lauderdale Florida
- Contact:
I was just looking at that area on IR satellite bcus I saw a spin yesterday but little convection. Figured just a ULL. Came to look for a post or ...start one...and found yours.
NHC does mention it in tropical discussion as one of several mid/upper lows and indicates this one has a well developed well organized low pressure center. No mention of whether conditions are favorable for this to become a surface low.
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT THU AUG 31 2006
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS ON TOP OF T.S. ERNESTO.
A SEPARATE UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 33N72W.
A RIDGE GOES FROM THIS 33N72W CENTER TO 28N77W.
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RUNS FROM AN EASTERN ATLANTIC
OCEAN LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 33N17W...IN BETWEEN THE CANARY ISLANDS AND THE MADEIRA ISLANDS...TO 33N26W...TO A SECOND LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 32N34W...TO A THIRD LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 29N39W...TO A FOURTH LOW CENTER NEAR 27N49W TO 30N59W...
TO A WELL-ORGANIZED AND WELL-DEVELOPED LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 25N65W.
THE TROUGH CONTINUES TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND EVENTUALLY INTO WESTERN NICARAGUA/WESTERN HONDURAS/EASTERN EL SALVADOR. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND SOME STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS CELLS ARE FROM 20N TO 33N BETWEEN 52W AND 73W. A LARGE SCALE BROAD SURFACE RIDGE RUNS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 35N27W TO A 1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 31N45W...TO 26N60W TO 28N74W. UPPER LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM THE ITCZ NEAR 20W...WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
NHC does mention it in tropical discussion as one of several mid/upper lows and indicates this one has a well developed well organized low pressure center. No mention of whether conditions are favorable for this to become a surface low.
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT THU AUG 31 2006
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS ON TOP OF T.S. ERNESTO.
A SEPARATE UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 33N72W.
A RIDGE GOES FROM THIS 33N72W CENTER TO 28N77W.
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RUNS FROM AN EASTERN ATLANTIC
OCEAN LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 33N17W...IN BETWEEN THE CANARY ISLANDS AND THE MADEIRA ISLANDS...TO 33N26W...TO A SECOND LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 32N34W...TO A THIRD LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 29N39W...TO A FOURTH LOW CENTER NEAR 27N49W TO 30N59W...
TO A WELL-ORGANIZED AND WELL-DEVELOPED LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 25N65W.
THE TROUGH CONTINUES TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND EVENTUALLY INTO WESTERN NICARAGUA/WESTERN HONDURAS/EASTERN EL SALVADOR. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND SOME STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS CELLS ARE FROM 20N TO 33N BETWEEN 52W AND 73W. A LARGE SCALE BROAD SURFACE RIDGE RUNS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 35N27W TO A 1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 31N45W...TO 26N60W TO 28N74W. UPPER LEVEL EASTERLY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM THE ITCZ NEAR 20W...WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN...AND INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
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