Caribbean Trouble? 18Z GFS

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Dean4Storms
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Caribbean Trouble? 18Z GFS

#1 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:30 pm

Starting to see some consistancy of models brining a low rider into the eastern Carib. late in the week.

18z GFS

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation
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#2 Postby WindRunner » Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:31 pm

That is probably the system that is currently SW of the CVI, being discussed here.
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#3 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:33 pm

WindRunner wrote:That is probably the system that is currently SW of the CVI, being discussed here.


Guess you might be right, there's getting to be so many its getting confusing now. Sorry
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#4 Postby WindRunner » Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:41 pm

Haha, can't blame you. I actually wrote up a whole post with a decent length discussion on a system a couple of days ago, but didn't think about even looking for a thread on it until I finished. Of course, turns out there was one :P But that's September in the Atlantic for you . . .
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#5 Postby sma10 » Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:42 pm

Actually, the 18Z GFS does NOT take that system into the Caribbean.

The model turns the system northerly to North of Puerto Rico in the longer range.
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#6 Postby Rainband » Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:42 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:
WindRunner wrote:That is probably the system that is currently SW of the CVI, being discussed here.


Guess you might be right, there's getting to be so many its getting confusing now. Sorry
You have just had too many beers :lol: :lol: :lol:
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#7 Postby wxmann_91 » Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:53 pm

I would only start worrying about it if there is some run-to-run consistency and more models show it. This is one 18Z run of the GFS. Not likely to verify.
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#8 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sun Sep 10, 2006 8:03 pm

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 8&start=20
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#9 Postby hurricanetrack » Sun Sep 10, 2006 8:15 pm

There was one run of the GFS where it looked like Mr. Big Hurricane coming out of the Cape Verdes just comes along and eats this little thing up for lunch. It actually stopped in its tracks and went back to the east and was absorbed in to the cyclone that is about to move off Africa. This is one odd season- it's in a serious funk.
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#10 Postby KatDaddy » Sun Sep 10, 2006 8:19 pm

You got that right Mark. I know its a normal season but talk about whiplash after last year....from intense to normal. Thank God its a normal season for the GOM
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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#11 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Sep 10, 2006 8:20 pm

we thought last year was odd (well it was) but this season has just been plain weird...between lots of phantom storms (which happen every season) to systems just simply falling apart to storms that can pretty much not be forecasted by anything except God...reminds me of...well...me :lol:
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