The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Tropical Depression 8 Forms
Its storm after storm after storm now, with yet another system out in the Atlantic, with lots of potential and could threaten land.
Well defined TD 8 is just off of Africa with estimated 35 MPH winds and a 1010 MB Pressure.
TD 8 is heading westward at around 10 MPH. this is expected to continue for 36 Hours.
Strengthening is forecast, and TD8 can become a major.
More advisories coming soon, along with our first cone for this system.
EDIT: Disclaimer added. -senorpepr
HH Helene Forecasts
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HH Helene Forecasts
Last edited by Evil Jeremy on Wed Sep 20, 2006 6:53 am, edited 17 times in total.
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Pebbles wrote:i'm confused.. 2 advisory threads? and this one looks unofficial?
There is only one official advisory thread for TD 8 and is already at the page of forum ready to get the first advisory.
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 86#1463486
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
For this forecast, TD8 has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm, but for now, we are calling it "Eight" instead of "Helen"
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tropical Storm 8 Moving Westward.
Tropical Depression 8 Strengthens into a Tropical Storm, the 8th of the season so far.
Everywhere from the Lesser Antilles, Caribbean, Bermuda, and the SE USA should be watching this storm.
TS8 is still moving west at a slightly faster 20 MPH now. This is expected to continue for another 36 hours, with a slight movement to the WNW.
The latest model runs have been showing a recurve after 5 days now. However, I think that it is too early to start thinking about a recurve. After Gordon approaches the 35N line, the weakened subtropical ridge should begin to restrengthen. This should allow a more westward movement than the models indicate. However, anything can still happen with this system.
TS8 has become much more organized since 11:00AM EDT. For this, we have upgraded the Depression into a 40 MPH storm. The pressure is now estimated to be at 1007 MB.
Our cone is very concentrated for the first 3-4 days, and it expands a little on days 4-5. We take TS8 on a very limited WSW-WNW track on the first 3 days. However, no days 4-5, we climate the possibility for WSW movement, and the storm can even begin moving NW by then. Our cone is a little more south than the models, because of the fact that the models are not that reliable after 5 days, but with a weak TS, there is a little more uncertainty.
INITIAL 35KT
12HR 40KT
24HR 455KT
48HR 60KT
72HR 70KT
USE WITH CAUTION:
96HR 80KT
120HR 85KT
For this forecast, TD8 has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm, but for now, we are calling it "Eight" instead of "Helen"
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tropical Storm 8 Moving Westward.
Tropical Depression 8 Strengthens into a Tropical Storm, the 8th of the season so far.
Everywhere from the Lesser Antilles, Caribbean, Bermuda, and the SE USA should be watching this storm.
TS8 is still moving west at a slightly faster 20 MPH now. This is expected to continue for another 36 hours, with a slight movement to the WNW.
The latest model runs have been showing a recurve after 5 days now. However, I think that it is too early to start thinking about a recurve. After Gordon approaches the 35N line, the weakened subtropical ridge should begin to restrengthen. This should allow a more westward movement than the models indicate. However, anything can still happen with this system.
TS8 has become much more organized since 11:00AM EDT. For this, we have upgraded the Depression into a 40 MPH storm. The pressure is now estimated to be at 1007 MB.
Our cone is very concentrated for the first 3-4 days, and it expands a little on days 4-5. We take TS8 on a very limited WSW-WNW track on the first 3 days. However, no days 4-5, we climate the possibility for WSW movement, and the storm can even begin moving NW by then. Our cone is a little more south than the models, because of the fact that the models are not that reliable after 5 days, but with a weak TS, there is a little more uncertainty.
INITIAL 35KT
12HR 40KT
24HR 455KT
48HR 60KT
72HR 70KT
USE WITH CAUTION:
96HR 80KT
120HR 85KT
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