2006: What a differene from recent years !

[kenl01]

Pretty good AccuWx summary for 2006 Hurricane Season so far:

http://headlines.accuweather.com/news-s ... &article=0

What happened? The past two hurricane seasons were extremely active and devastating for Florida and large sections of the Gulf Coastline. This year not a single storm has put forth a significant threat to the United States. The storms that formed earlier in the season were close by, but not that big. The ones forming now are staying way out in the Atlantic due to the location of the jet stream. It's an invisible barrier against any storm that tries to move westward. Instead, the storms get to about the longitude of Bermuda and turn northward. Florence went to Newfoundland, Gordon will swing east of Bermuda, and it appears that Tropical Depression 8, destined to be Helene, will do the same thing. As long as the invisible barrier holds, the entire East Coast is safe from a big blow. (Just as I expected)


Any of you weather nuts out there who want to experience the forces of a hurricane will have to take a cruise to find one. Certainly, none are coming this way. The previous AccuWeather.com Headline pretty much explained why that is. Simply, the storms way out in the Atlantic cannot buck the southwesterly flow that exists along and just off the Eastern Seaboard. Tropical systems will continue to pose little threat to the United States unless there are some major changes in the flow pattern. Specifically, the jet stream must retreat north, and the Atlantic Ridge must extend toward the west. This would create a much bigger threat from tropical storms and hurricanes.

Story by AccuWeather.com Expert Senior Meteorologist John Kocet.


Any hurricane threats during the next 2 weeks would likely originate from home grown systems from old frontal boundaries. But I think the threat for any major CV hurricane making landfall in the USA has dimished greatly, especially now that it's already mid September and the Cape Verde season is drawing to a close.

[TampaSteve]

Good!

[AussieMark]

Pretty good AccuWx summary for 2006 Hurricane Season so far:

http://headlines.accuweather.com/news-s ... &article=0

What happened? The past two hurricane seasons were extremely active and devastating for Florida and large sections of the Gulf Coastline. This year not a single storm has put forth a significant threat to the United States. The storms that formed earlier in the season were close by, but not that big. The ones forming now are staying way out in the Atlantic due to the location of the jet stream. It's an invisible barrier against any storm that tries to move westward. Instead, the storms get to about the longitude of Bermuda and turn northward. Florence went to Newfoundland, Gordon will swing east of Bermuda, and it appears that Tropical Depression 8, destined to be Helene, will do the same thing. As long as the invisible barrier holds, the entire East Coast is safe from a big blow. (Just as I expected)


Any of you weather nuts out there who want to experience the forces of a hurricane will have to take a cruise to find one. Certainly, none are coming this way. The previous AccuWeather.com Headline pretty much explained why that is. Simply, the storms way out in the Atlantic cannot buck the southwesterly flow that exists along and just off the Eastern Seaboard. Tropical systems will continue to pose little threat to the United States unless there are some major changes in the flow pattern. Specifically, the jet stream must retreat north, and the Atlantic Ridge must extend toward the west. This would create a much bigger threat from tropical storms and hurricanes.

Story by AccuWeather.com Expert Senior Meteorologist John Kocet.


Any hurricane threats during the next 2 weeks would likely originate from home grown systems from old frontal boundaries. But I think the threat for any major CV hurricane making landfall in the USA has dimished greatly, especially now that it's already mid September and the Cape Verde season is drawing to a close.

Didn't Accuweather talk about a New England Strike or East Coast for this year back in April or May?

**Found the Image of image of risks from pre season

[kenl01]

Pretty good AccuWx summary for 2006 Hurricane Season so far:

http://headlines.accuweather.com/news-s ... &article=0

What happened? The past two hurricane seasons were extremely active and devastating for Florida and large sections of the Gulf Coastline. This year not a single storm has put forth a significant threat to the United States. The storms that formed earlier in the season were close by, but not that big. The ones forming now are staying way out in the Atlantic due to the location of the jet stream. It's an invisible barrier against any storm that tries to move westward. Instead, the storms get to about the longitude of Bermuda and turn northward. Florence went to Newfoundland, Gordon will swing east of Bermuda, and it appears that Tropical Depression 8, destined to be Helene, will do the same thing. As long as the invisible barrier holds, the entire East Coast is safe from a big blow. (Just as I expected)


Any of you weather nuts out there who want to experience the forces of a hurricane will have to take a cruise to find one. Certainly, none are coming this way. The previous AccuWeather.com Headline pretty much explained why that is. Simply, the storms way out in the Atlantic cannot buck the southwesterly flow that exists along and just off the Eastern Seaboard. Tropical systems will continue to pose little threat to the United States unless there are some major changes in the flow pattern. Specifically, the jet stream must retreat north, and the Atlantic Ridge must extend toward the west. This would create a much bigger threat from tropical storms and hurricanes.

Story by AccuWeather.com Expert Senior Meteorologist John Kocet.


Any hurricane threats during the next 2 weeks would likely originate from home grown systems from old frontal boundaries. But I think the threat for any major CV hurricane making landfall in the USA has dimished greatly, especially now that it's already mid September and the Cape Verde season is drawing to a close.

Didn't Accuweather talk about a New England Strike or East Coast for this year back in April or May?

**Found the Image of image of risks from pre season

I wouldn't worry about that anymore. That earlier prediction was certainly wrong.

Well, here's the latest. Good news for the East coast !

The storm count as of this day is eight. Last year at this time, 15 Atlantic Basin storms had been named. Three of those, Emily, Dennis and Katrina, had already dealt severe blows to the Gulf's coastline. So what has been the difference? There was a sprawling ridge over eastern North America for the last hurricane season. The flow on the southern perimeter of that system was perfect for tropical development. This year, the prevailing westerlies have been farther south on many occasions. This has prevented some storms from forming and has turned others away from the United States' coastline. This week Florence went straight north to Newfoundland, and Gordon is staying way out there. Helene may track a bit farther west and possibly hit Bermuda, but it is also likely to turn away from the East Coast.