SW Caribbean Blob

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gatorcane
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SW Caribbean Blob

#1 Postby gatorcane » Thu Sep 14, 2006 11:38 am

Looks like something is finally starting to brew in the SW Caribbean after being so quiet this whole season. Just a blob right now but it looks to be getting pulled NNW into the Caribbean Sea. It could go poof soon or it could maintain (hence the definition of a blob)

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#2 Postby stormspotter » Thu Sep 14, 2006 12:03 pm

FISH!

:fishing: :A:
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#3 Postby Damar91 » Thu Sep 14, 2006 12:04 pm

:fools:
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#4 Postby Damar91 » Thu Sep 14, 2006 12:05 pm

Seriously though, it's a pretty small blob. Probably just some normal thunderstorms blowing up. Unless something drastic changes, start looking forward to winter.
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#5 Postby StrongWind » Thu Sep 14, 2006 12:07 pm

Probably a poofer. I agree that "blob" should be part of the official lexicon. 'Today, the NHC has upgraded blob-x to invest 96L' :lol:
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#6 Postby fwbbreeze » Thu Sep 14, 2006 12:11 pm

a couple of the models continue to show vorticity off the SA coast in that area but dont take it much further than that.

fwbbreeze
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#7 Postby ronjon » Fri Sep 15, 2006 7:30 am

Looks like some weak cyclonic turning near 11N-79W this morning. Could be an MLC. Nice convection to the north and west of the CC motion. Need to see if it persists and where it goes. I don't see any model support at the moment.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html
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#8 Postby Dean4Storms » Fri Sep 15, 2006 7:51 am

I see that ronjon, if it persists it could be interesting.
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#9 Postby boca » Fri Sep 15, 2006 8:07 am

Most likely it will move west into the E Pacific.
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#10 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 15, 2006 8:15 am

boca wrote:Most likely it will move west into the E Pacific.


not sure about that with all the troughs that will be digging down into the GOM
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#11 Postby boca » Fri Sep 15, 2006 8:22 am

True but even if a trough dug into the GOM the troughs aren't strong enough to have an affect on this particular system because on sat its drifting west.
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#12 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 15, 2006 11:12 am

http://icons.wunderground.com/data/456x ... 0069151206

Moving toward Central America.
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#13 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 15, 2006 12:51 pm

Thunderstorms beginning to flare up more east and moving NW....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/avn-l.jpg
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#14 Postby chrisnnavarre » Fri Sep 15, 2006 3:05 pm

gatorcane wrote:Thunderstorms beginning to flare up more east and moving NW....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/avn-l.jpg



I see that... if if stays in the Western Carribean then Houston we may have a problem..... (hey could be Houston, too who knows...or Tampa or Nola or Pensacola, etc.. etc..).

Maybe it'll fade like rest of them this year.

:roll:
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#15 Postby TheRingo » Fri Sep 15, 2006 3:46 pm

Is there new convection here?

Image
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#16 Postby chrisnnavarre » Fri Sep 15, 2006 3:52 pm

Sure looks like it. If it's there tomorrow time to worry.

:(
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#17 Postby Damar91 » Fri Sep 15, 2006 3:54 pm

Things down there looking a little more interesting tonight!
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#18 Postby perk » Fri Sep 15, 2006 3:59 pm

Damar91 wrote:Things down there looking a little more interesting tonight!
Yeah it doe's look more interesting this evening, but can you detect what direction it's moving.
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#19 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Sep 15, 2006 4:04 pm

Nothing here to be alarmed about yet. We would have to see persistent convection over the next day or so. There is some shear in the Central Caribbean but, not much over the western caribbean.

The general reason I would worry about the Caribbean is that we haven't seen a lot of shear there and we got some waves coming through. The troughing along the east coast causing the weakend ridge over this way is concern to me because a track to the north, I would think would be the general motion due to this.
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#20 Postby chrisnnavarre » Sat Sep 16, 2006 9:54 am

Flare up again this morning, same general area....
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