Tropical System?

LaBreeze · #1 Postby **LaBreeze** » Tue Sep 26, 2006 7:29 am

A local met mentioned this morning that there is a possibility of a tropical system being in the central GOM by the October 6-7-8th time frame. Anyone else picking up on this?

Jagno · #2 Postby **Jagno** » Tue Sep 26, 2006 8:08 am

LaBreeze; This is not even funny. Now you take that back right now. LOL

Our local met was stressing to everyone yesterday that Hurricane Season IS NOT OVER and emphasized the fact that Sept and Oct tend to develop more gulf coast storms. Everyone here tends to forget hurricanes the minute the weather cools down a little. My Dad was telling me yesterday that he started draining his fuel reserve into his vehicle since there doesn't appear that we are going to have an active season this year. :roll:

I think that is called complacency.

#3 Postby **Blown Away** » Tue Sep 26, 2006 8:16 am

Look at the Nogaps thread, looks like it places a system near the Yucatan tip in a few days.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/nogapstc ... =Animation

#4 Postby **Evil Jeremy** » Tue Sep 26, 2006 8:18 am

i am 65% sure that a storm or hurricane will make it into the gulf for the rest of this season

beachbum_al · #5 Postby **beachbum_al** » Tue Sep 26, 2006 12:16 pm

Please say it is not true.

KatDaddy · #6 Postby **KatDaddy** » Tue Sep 26, 2006 12:21 pm

I would be amazed but not surprised with current weather pattern. However TX is basically 100% safe. Any TX OCT landfall is a very very very long shot. On the flip side thats not the case for NOLA eastward to Florida Keys.

#7 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Tue Sep 26, 2006 12:23 pm

Here it is:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/avn-l.jpg

cajungal · #8 Postby **cajungal** » Tue Sep 26, 2006 12:49 pm

Well, if anything would get going in the Gulf, it would probably be steered to either the Florida panhandle or SW Florida. We have been having a lot of fronts coming down. The Gulf will be cooled down a lot near the Central Gulf Coast. We now have lows this week getting down in the upper 50's to lower 60's and I am really enjoying this fall weather. The weather is picture perfect today.

#9 Postby **Stormcenter** » Tue Sep 26, 2006 1:12 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:i am 65% sure that a storm or hurricane will make it into the gulf for the rest of this season

I'm 35% sure that one won't. :lol:

#10 Postby **Stormcenter** » Tue Sep 26, 2006 1:16 pm

cajungal wrote:Well, if anything would get going in the Gulf, it would probably be steered to either the Florida panhandle or SW Florida. We have been having a lot of fronts coming down. The Gulf will be cooled down a lot near the Central Gulf Coast. We now have lows this week getting down in the upper 50's to lower 60's and I am really enjoying this fall weather. The weather is picture perfect today.

Very true and is no end in sight.

#11 Postby **Blown Away** » Tue Sep 26, 2006 1:23 pm

2:05 Disc: THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
A MID/UPPER TROUGH IS EXTENDING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS AND EASTERN CUBA INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN. AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE SITUATED NEAR 12N78W DOMINATES THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA. THIS FEATURE IS ENHANCING THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION BETWEEN JAMAICA AND CABO GRACIAS A DIOS IN NICARAGUA. THIS ACTIVITY IS MOVING MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND AROUND THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER HIGH. THE UPPER ANTICYCLONE ALSO EXTENDS A RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. THE COMBINATION OF THE ATLC RIDGE AND THE COLOMBIAN LOW IS PRODUCING MODERATE/STRONG TRADES OVER THE S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWED AROUND 20 KT WINDS IN THE AREA...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS MAINLY JUST OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS IN THE SURFACE ELY TRADE WINDS ARE AFFECTING THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...PARTICULARLY EAST OF 68W.

Tropical System?

Tropical System?

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