What is the cause of...
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Jim Cantore
What is the cause of...
The abrupt re-curving of this years cape verde storms, I know it's an El Nino pattern but is it a lack of ridging?
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Evil Jeremy
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brunota2003
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Evil Jeremy
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Historical stats say that El nino years tend to mean a relatively low threat to the U.S. from storms that first become named east of 50W. El Nino storm hits generally occur from storms that form much closer to the U.S.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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superfly
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gatorcane
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temps across the mid-west are some 10-20 degrees BELOW normal this time of year. That translates to strong EC troughs pushing offshore. So actually all the troughiness this year is not that normal. The long-wave pattern has worked to our advantage so far. Let's hope it doesn't change for Oct.
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wxmann_91
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Florence.
It's large size left a huge weakness over the central Atlantic that never filled back in as it was quickly reinforced with Gordon and Helene.
Not that it really mattered much anyway, there was really nothing anomalous about this year so you'll just have to go with climo, which argues recurve.
It's large size left a huge weakness over the central Atlantic that never filled back in as it was quickly reinforced with Gordon and Helene.
Not that it really mattered much anyway, there was really nothing anomalous about this year so you'll just have to go with climo, which argues recurve.
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gatorcane
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wxmann_91 wrote:Florence.
It's large size left a huge weakness over the central Atlantic that never filled back in as it was quickly reinforced with Gordon and Helene.
Not that it really mattered much anyway, there was really nothing anomalous about this year so you'll just have to go with climo, which argues recurve.
I don't think Florence was the main cause. What steered Florence away east of 60W was a massive trough for early Sept. Those troughs just keep coming. Its amazing how when these storms curve they curve just perfectly as to not hit an land areas often. Look at Isaac, who will curve just in time to miss Novia Scotia. Makes you wonder if there is a reason why the US is shaped like it is.
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Evil Jeremy
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gpickett00
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