morning convection off Nicaragua?

Nimbus · #1 Postby **Nimbus** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 5:39 am

Anyone know if this is related to the low off Yucatan guidance?

Rainband · #2 Postby **Rainband** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 5:52 am

could be. I am looking at it now. Looks to be a spin down there. Cant be sure until visable Sats are available.

TheRingo · #3 Postby **TheRingo** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 8:09 am

Surface analysis has a wave there.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/CAR_latest.gif

DESTRUCTION5 · #4 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 8:22 am

Looks like the 1st Signifigant piece of energy in the WC since Wilma..

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html

#5 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 8:26 am

and here it could be beginning folks - the infamous Oct low in the W. Caribbean. :eek:

caneman · #6 Postby **caneman** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 8:31 am

Isn't this moving West though?

TheRingo · #7 Postby **TheRingo** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 8:33 am

The high that's above the gulf is causing the steering to go west, but the gfs has that high moving out and leaving the gulf exposed in 120hours.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/gfs/2006100606/slp20.png

#8 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 8:40 am

TheRingo wrote:The high that's above the gulf is causing the steering to go west, but the gfs has that high moving out and leaving the gulf exposed in 120hours.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/gfs/2006100606/slp20.png

exactly

Rainband · #9 Postby **Rainband** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 8:41 am

by that time it will be gone :wink:

#10 Postby **Stormcenter** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 8:48 am

Rainband wrote:by that time it will be gone

Yep I agree.

boca · #11 Postby **boca** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 9:18 am

This year I don't put to much stock in persistence especially in the Western Caribbean since we haven't had anything form down there things are still too hostile.

#12 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 9:36 am

boca wrote:This year I don't put to much stock in persistence especially in the Western Caribbean since we haven't had anything form down there things are still too hostile.

and for the EXACT opposite reason of your's I put my stock in the W. Caribbean - it has been too quiet there. Now it is really getting going. I don't like that blob down there one bit.

boca · #13 Postby **boca** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 9:41 am

Are models still picking up on something down there they were a couple of days ago the GFS seemed to drop whatever was going on down there as of this morning.

#14 Postby **fci** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 9:44 am

Yeah!!

It has been at least a week since I have seen any "surprise" emoticons in a post.
Soon we will be awash in :eek:

's and exclamation marks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Ah, the last gasps of Hurricane season and still some more fun and humor

:lol:

#15 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 9:51 am

fci wrote:Yeah!!

It has been at least a week since I have seen any "surprise" emoticons in a post.
Soon we will be awash in 's and exclamation marks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Ah, the last gasps of Hurricane season and still some more fun and humor

I think its heading for South Florida :roll:

!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

boca · #16 Postby **boca** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 9:58 am

Gatorcane get a grip man. I now have real accordian hurricane shutters up I'm ready. The clouds down there are situated north/south. If this were are circular blob I'd be more concerned.

#17 Postby **Blown Away** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 10:32 am

Boca, I think gatorcane was joking.

#18 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 10:36 am

Blown_away wrote:Boca, I think gatorcane was joking.

yeah I was :lol:

Frank2 · #19 Postby **Frank2** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 11:16 am

I'm happy that you were - I was ready to start playing my "Ocala, here I come" record...

Frank

#20 Postby **Blown Away** » Fri Oct 06, 2006 11:26 am

Starting to look suspicious in the general area around 18/86, IMO. Lots of convection down there.

morning convection off Nicaragua?

morning convection off Nicaragua?

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