Anyone think there will be a TD before Nov. 31?

#1 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 2:52 pm

I do. It's at 1003 mb now and just made the Dvorak list at:

15/1745 UTC 22.7N 95.5W TOO WEAK 92L -- Atlantic Ocean

#2 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 2:59 pm

it might

superfly · #3 Postby **superfly** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 3:19 pm

hurricanedude · #4 Postby **hurricanedude** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 3:33 pm

better chance of building a 12 foot snowman in Phoenix in Mid July!

#5 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 3:39 pm

That's easy. Take the snow from the polar regions, ship it to Pheonix (always keep it below 32ºF) and in a big freezer you can build your ice man!!!

JK.

Even if it develops or not, the result is going to be the same. Lots of rain for extremely eastern Texas and Louisiana.

Ptarmigan · #6 Postby **Ptarmigan** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 5:35 pm

Maybe. Keep an eye on it as usual.

Cyclenall · #7 Postby **Cyclenall** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 6:26 pm

I don't think so. I'd give it a 4% chance of becoming one by Monday.

#8 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 7:09 pm

The chances are zip to zero.

Cyclenall · #9 Postby **Cyclenall** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 7:39 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:The chances appear to be diminishing.

The chances were not high to begin with. If it the low pressure system is over land right now, then I'd say a 0.4% chance of it becoming a TD by Monday.

Extremeweatherguy · #10 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 9:43 pm

I doubt there is even is a LLC anymore. I would give it a 0.000001% chance of development.

#11 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sun Oct 15, 2006 10:48 pm

I'm pretty sure that nothing is going to develop before Monday!!!

#12 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Oct 16, 2006 12:05 am

I give it:

a 0.

1% chance

no eek face required I don't see a depression forming.

kevin · #13 Postby **kevin** » Mon Oct 16, 2006 1:22 am

Its gonna be a CAT % [sic]!

#14 Postby **Hybridstorm_November2001** » Mon Oct 16, 2006 8:51 am

Never had a chance. Two many factors were against it. I was so sure of this, that I haven't even been watching this one much.

#15 Postby **Hybridstorm_November2001** » Mon Oct 16, 2006 8:55 am

As for the general topic of this thread:

I'm starting to have my doubts that we'll see any more storms this season/year. It still could happen, but we'd need a near total Pattern flip in the North Atlantic Basin.

In closing one or two more tops, if any.

Lindaloo · #16 Postby **Lindaloo** » Mon Oct 16, 2006 9:13 am

After the past two years, it amazes me that people still do not actually GET mother nature.

#17 Postby **hial2** » Mon Oct 16, 2006 9:30 am

There's a better chance that Kim Jong Il gives up nuclear weapons than to have another tropical system in the Atl or GOM this year.... :grr:

#18 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Oct 16, 2006 9:43 am

Possible? Yes. Nevertheless, conditions in November are usually worse than what they are in October, but things can happen.

#19 Postby **MWatkins** » Mon Oct 16, 2006 9:43 am

Nope...I think this season has been more or less rolled up. I would be surprised...if we do I think it will be a system way out in the eastern Atlantic.

And the odds of ua having a November 31st are pretty slim as well...(kidding...kidding)

MW

LaPlaceFF · #20 Postby **LaPlaceFF** » Mon Oct 16, 2006 10:39 am

30 days hath September, April June and NOVEMBER!!!

Anyone think there will be a TD before Nov. 31?

Anyone think there will be a TD before Nov. 31?

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