Interesting read for Florida El Nino

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boca
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Interesting read for Florida El Nino

#1 Postby boca » Tue Oct 31, 2006 10:13 pm

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=PNSMFL

Maybe will catch up on the rainfall we missed out on this hurricane season during winter/spring.
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#2 Postby hurricanetrack » Tue Oct 31, 2006 10:30 pm

I thought Stacy Stewart was the WCM for Miami. Perhaps not anymore...
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#3 Postby Sanibel » Wed Nov 01, 2006 10:09 am

Looking like a weak Nino. I suspect the skunk season this year for cyclones was partly due to other factors like a global shift in macro-weather patterns that is hard to describe. Simply put, even without the mild Nino this year the recurve/Atlantic hostility pattern would have happened.


My bet is we don't see this wet winter this year. Watch and see.
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#4 Postby hurricanetrack » Wed Nov 01, 2006 10:35 am

I think that was a very good read on what happened this season. Very well put.
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#5 Postby Blown Away » Wed Nov 01, 2006 10:48 am

How will this El Nino effect next year's hurricane season?
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#6 Postby hookemfins » Wed Nov 01, 2006 11:47 am

hurricanetrack wrote:I thought Stacy Stewart was the WCM for Miami. Perhaps not anymore...



It was Jim Lushine who was the long time WCM. He retired last year. Rob Molleda was at the NHC doing the high seas forecast and was promoted to be the new WCM for Miami.
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#7 Postby hurricanetrack » Wed Nov 01, 2006 11:07 pm

Yep- just figured it out. Stewart is still the WCM for TPC. A ok.
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#8 Postby the_winds_that_sheared_me » Thu Nov 02, 2006 12:43 am

So you are saying the NHC miami and the NWS miami are the same place?? I thought the NWS just done weather and hurricanes for South Florida and the NHC did hurricanes for the whole US?
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#9 Postby Patrick99 » Thu Nov 02, 2006 8:11 am

I bet we don't see a wet winter, either, because I would enjoy that too much. The weather around here constantly spites me. If the hurricane season is this boring, the weather could at least throw me a bone in the winter, as in 1997-1998. Now that was a good wet, warm 'n stormy El Nino winter.

I'm sick of reading the NWS S. FL discussions during the winter and seeing "strongest dynamics expected to remain well north of the CWA"...then there's the typical dry frontal passage followed by desert-like blue sky for a week. I am hoping for a strong southern jet.
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#10 Postby boca » Thu Nov 02, 2006 8:20 am

This is from the Sunsentinel.

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/local/ ... -headlines
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Rainband

#11 Postby Rainband » Thu Nov 02, 2006 11:23 am

that graphic makes it look like central Florida is at a higher risk?
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#12 Postby Sanibel » Tue Nov 21, 2006 11:01 pm

Seattle and Washington Cascades to set new rainfall totals records for November.

Over 15 inches and counting.

Nino pattern?
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#13 Postby JonathanBelles » Tue Nov 21, 2006 11:14 pm

umm...hazcollect-el nino?
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#14 Postby wxmann_91 » Wed Nov 22, 2006 3:12 pm

the_winds_that_sheared_me wrote:So you are saying the NHC miami and the NWS miami are the same place?? I thought the NWS just done weather and hurricanes for South Florida and the NHC did hurricanes for the whole US?

I think they're in the same building.
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