BoM ENSO Update=El Nino maturing

[cycloneye]

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/index.shtml

They say el nino will peak by January or Febuary.

[HURAKAN]

It's becoming "El Adolecente" or "The Teenager."

[hurricanetrack]

That's not a small area of cool anomalies subsurface:

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/sub_surf_nov.gif

Will be interesting to see how THAT evolves in the coming months.

[P.K.]

This is the latest subsurface chart although it only has 3 and a bit days worth of December data on it

[hurricanetrack]

Slowly but surely the subsurface conditions are changing. I suppose it is reasonable to assume there will be no El Nino in place by June 1, 2007.

[P.K.]

I've just uploaded an animation for the last two months from 9/10/2006 to 4/12/2006. Note that although the gap between images is usually three or four days there are a couple where the gap is seven days.

[HurricaneBill]

With the coup that occured in Fiji, now would probably be a bad time for a cyclone to hit.

During the 2002-2003 season, Fiji was struck by Cyclone Ami.

[Sanibel]

No extraordinary rain or cool nino winter so far here in south Florida. A bit of drought instead.

[Ptarmigan]

No extraordinary rain or cool nino winter so far here in south Florida. A bit of drought instead.

November was one of the driest on record. It followed a really wet October. Looks like we will see more rain this month..........