5 PM last advisory:Downgraded to a tropical wave

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 21, 2003 3:34 pm

http://www.tormenta.net/frame_page.asp? ... s_nt1.html

It will be monitored for signs of regeneration if that happens.

Lindaloo · #2 Postby **Lindaloo** » Mon Jul 21, 2003 3:36 pm

Yep... it is bye-bye for now.

The_Cycloman_PR · #3 Postby **The_Cycloman_PR** » Mon Jul 21, 2003 3:44 pm

Yep. Bye bye...Now let see if we get some tropical wave showers...

(Joke)

Serious now...Don't loose this system completely for signs of redevelopment over the western Caribbean...

Stay safe!

Rainband · #4 Postby **Rainband** » Mon Jul 21, 2003 3:44 pm

We will see. I guess the enviornment was too hostile!!! :wink:

chadtm80 · #5 Postby **chadtm80** » Mon Jul 21, 2003 7:25 pm

What was it?? Dry air?? The speed??

#6 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 21, 2003 7:28 pm

Both Chad

Rainband · #7 Postby **Rainband** » Mon Jul 21, 2003 7:29 pm

cycloneye wrote:Both Chad

The LLC outran the covection huh??

The_Cycloman_PR · #8 Postby **The_Cycloman_PR** » Mon Jul 21, 2003 7:34 pm

I think it was dry air and what Derek Ort said. The SAL, too much stable airmass there. It was fast but not that fast, Claudette reached almost 30mph motion speed. I have seen many systems developing into tropical storms and even hurricanes at 20 to 23knots. Also if you look the Caribbean moviloop you will see that the trough north of Hispaniola is currently creating southwesterly shear that although was'nt that evident last night and today, maybe it was creating some dificulties on the upper levels for TD 6, preventing or stoping the good outflow of the system and making very hard it's future development, you can see that trough and the southwesterly shear very clear tonight even at infrared images.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html

Lindaloo · #9 Postby **Lindaloo** » Mon Jul 21, 2003 7:46 pm

Is there a possibilty that she could re-develop when she reaches the Carribean?

Rainband · #10 Postby **Rainband** » Mon Jul 21, 2003 7:52 pm

Lindaloo wrote:Is there a possibilty that she could re-develop when she reaches the Carribean?

I say yes..but I am far from an expert..The GOM is boiling so it's something to watch if it makes it that far!! :wink:

Stormsfury · #11 Postby **Stormsfury** » Mon Jul 21, 2003 8:11 pm

Anything that could disrupt such a small LLC such as TD #6 was suspected to have ... well, did ...

Candidates include ...
1) Fast relative motion
2) Subtle SW shear noted by Cycloman_PR on his post ...
3) Dry air ... (Saharan Air Layer -- Noted by Derek Ortt)

I think all 3 listed were contributors in their own special way ...
Also, note two other factors ... which probably will hinder the redevelopment of T.D. #6 ... forecast track takes the wave near or over Hispanola ... and those 10,000 foot mountains would rip anything weak to shreds... also, note the ULL that's developed north of Hispanola ...(Evident on IR and better defined on WV)
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

The GOM may not exactly be a hotbed either, with 2 tropical cyclones disrupting the waters quite a bit in recent weeks (likely would be some cool eddies among the warmer eddies) ... both environmentally and SST wise in the short-term AND look further west towards Florida on WV ... that's an unbelievably deep trough for this time of year .. and will be reinforced by at least 2 more s/w's in the next 36-48 hours ...
... that is, if anything is left of former T.D. #6

SF

5 PM last advisory:Downgraded to a tropical wave

5 PM last advisory:Downgraded to a tropical wave

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