Which areas in U.S.will have more landfalls in 2007 season?

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Jan 30, 2007 12:54 pm

This poll is only for the U.S. Mainland areas,not for the Virgin Islands,Puerto Rico or Hawaii.This poll is non-scientific.If you look to the poll options,they are not in alphabetical order.The last option of the poll (No Landfalls will occur in U.S. mainland in 2007) is there to make it a complete poll with all options available for the members to vote for.

I will say North Carolina.

The Storm2k Official Forecast Poll will start on April 1 so get ready to participate in that poll.Let's see if the 2007 Poll can break the record of participation of the 2006 poll of 181 members.

#2 Postby **angelwing** » Tue Jan 30, 2007 1:06 pm

North Carolina, it's been awhile

Dr. Jonah Rainwater · #3 Postby **Dr. Jonah Rainwater** » Tue Jan 30, 2007 3:52 pm

Western GOMEX....

Opal storm · #4 Postby **Opal storm** » Tue Jan 30, 2007 4:46 pm

I say NC,the East coast is really overdue.The Gulf coast will get another break. 8-)

ncupsscweather · #5 Postby **ncupsscweather** » Tue Jan 30, 2007 9:19 pm

I am going to go with Florida, yeah North Carolina is overdue but I don't think it will be as active up this way as it will be in Florida so i am going to have to go with Florida. I would sure like to see one up this way though. I know from the latest topic i read this season is forecasted to be above normal again. I just hope it don't turn out to be another very active season like the 2005 Atlantic Hurricane Season. I don't think the U.S. could deal with another " Katrina " or one like it. But the season is still over 100 days out so who knows.

#6 Postby **hial2** » Wed Jan 31, 2007 4:04 pm

ncupsscweather wrote: I don't think the U.S. could deal with another " Katrina " or one like it.

Well, as they say,it's not a matter of if but when..I remember when Andrew was a "once in a lifetime" deal..Well,if Katrina would have stayed off the SE coast of Fla for another 12 hours or so, only God knows what would have happened here..
I only hope and pray we're better prepared as a country to deal with a natural (or otherwise) calamity next time..

x-y-no · #7 Postby **x-y-no** » Wed Jan 31, 2007 4:31 pm

I'm really hesitant to predict given how badly I busted last year ... :oops:

but anyway I picked Florida peninsula - just because that's more coastline than most of your other choices. I was leaning towards Carolinas, though. If you'd put them together, I'd probably go there.

#8 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jan 31, 2007 6:12 pm

I'm really hesitant to predict given how badly I busted last year ...

Jan,the most experts in the field were wrong last year so you being wrong is not a big deal.

HurricaneHunter914 · #9 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Thu Feb 01, 2007 8:36 am

I'm saying Florida because last year, even with so few TCs, Florida had 2 landfalls last year(I think that was the most).

#10 Postby **Hybridstorm_November2001** » Mon Feb 05, 2007 11:49 am

Florida northward to Cape Hatteras, I think is a safe bet.

#11 Postby **vbhoutex** » Mon Feb 05, 2007 2:05 pm

Until it is more obvious how the patterns may be setting up it is hard to say but I will go with a Western Gulf hit, meaning Tx coast or South, at least two for FL and at least one for the Carolina's area.

#12 Postby **brunota2003** » Mon Feb 05, 2007 3:49 pm

People say NC is overdue...what about Georgia? how long has their luck held out so far? Remember, that while we havent had "The Big One", we have had alot of activity...2002 Kyle, 2003 Isabel, 2004 Alex, Bonnie, Charley, Gaston (flooding), 2005 Ophelia, Tammy (indirectly caused massive flooding) 2006 Alberto and Ernesto...I could include those that affected western NC as well, as they receive flooding from quite a few systems...

meteorologyman · #13 Postby **meteorologyman** » Mon Feb 05, 2007 5:07 pm

One of the major keys on forecastiong hurricanes is the location of Bermuda High (BH), which is what steers the storm, right now it stretches pretty close to Fl so I would say Florida may get another bad one

However if BH moves a little Eastward and/or northward , East Coast of Florida and up along the coast (FL-Maine) is the threat,

If BH moves more westward then anyone in the Gulf is in Trouble.

The worst case scenario is BH continung moving around, then everyone is in trouble

#14 Postby **angelwing** » Mon Feb 05, 2007 5:19 pm

No one mentions NJ or MD either, if I'm not mistaken the Inlet in Ocean City MD was from a cane in the 60's I think.

AussieMark · #15 Postby **AussieMark** » Mon Feb 05, 2007 6:15 pm

brunota2003 wrote:People say NC is overdue...what about Georgia? how long has their luck held out so far? Remember, that while we havent had "The Big One", we have had alot of activity...2002 Kyle, 2003 Isabel, 2004 Alex, Bonnie, Charley, Gaston (flooding), 2005 Ophelia, Tammy (indirectly caused massive flooding) 2006 Alberto and Ernesto...I could include those that affected western NC as well, as they receive flooding from quite a few systems...

Who says NC is overdue

look at the storms to Strike NC in the last decade or so

1996: Bertha and Fran
1998: Bonnie
1999: Dennis and Floyd
2002: Kyle
2003: Isabel
2004: Alex, Bonnie, Charley, Gaston
2005: Ophelia
2006: Alberto and Ernesto

talking about Georgia the last time they had a direct hit from a hurricane was David in September 1979

the last major was a category 4 in September 1898

1893 also had 2 category 3s

jdray · #16 Postby **jdray** » Mon Feb 05, 2007 10:59 pm

AussieMark wrote:
brunota2003 wrote:People say NC is overdue...what about Georgia? how long has their luck held out so far? Remember, that while we havent had "The Big One", we have had alot of activity...2002 Kyle, 2003 Isabel, 2004 Alex, Bonnie, Charley, Gaston (flooding), 2005 Ophelia, Tammy (indirectly caused massive flooding) 2006 Alberto and Ernesto...I could include those that affected western NC as well, as they receive flooding from quite a few systems...

Who says NC is overdue

look at the storms to Strike NC in the last decade or so

1996: Bertha and Fran
1998: Bonnie
1999: Dennis and Floyd
2002: Kyle
2003: Isabel
2004: Alex, Bonnie, Charley, Gaston
2005: Ophelia
2006: Alberto and Ernesto

talking about Georgia the last time they had a direct hit from a hurricane was David in September 1979

the last major was a category 4 in September 1898

1893 also had 2 category 3s

Im 50 miles from Georgia, don't remind me they are overdue.........

cajungal · #17 Postby **cajungal** » Tue Feb 06, 2007 10:30 am

We escaped the brunt of Katrina since she hit well east of here. All we mainly had was lots of trees down, some people had roof damage and we had no power for 3 days. Rita hit 200 miles away, but she seriously flooded the southern part of Terrebonne Parish. Our worse case scererio would be a major storm hitting around the Morgan City area. And the last time that happened was Andrew in 1992 where we had 100 mph winds for what seemed like hours. Betsy was the last major hurricane where we had the actual eyewall and that was in 1965. She hit Grand Isle but eyewall was 40 miles across. Bill and Isidore passed almost directly over here, but luckily only as tropical storms. And even then serious flooding happened over portions of Terrebonne Parish.

#18 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Feb 28, 2007 6:43 pm

Bumping this poll for those members that are comming back or are newbies and not haved voted yet.

#19 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Wed Feb 28, 2007 8:00 pm

Thats a really hard choice. I think the east coast including florida and NC will be harder hit than other places, but I think everywhere will be hit.

#20 Postby **gatorcane** » Wed Feb 28, 2007 9:57 pm

I think of the 37% of Florida votes about 36% would be South Florida and the Panhandle. :eek:

Which areas in U.S.will have more landfalls in 2007 season?

Which areas will have more landfalling systems in 2007?

Which areas in U.S.will have more landfalls in 2007 season?

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