GOM/Caribbean/Atlantic Ocean SST'S and Anomalies

[cycloneye]

They look more warmer than in 2006 (Maybe like 2004-2005) for this time of the year.Let's follow the data of the anomalies to see if they keep as warm as they are now by the time the 2007 hurricane season starts.In this thread graphics from the GOM,Caribbean and of course the Atlantic can be posted.

Whole Atlantic Link

GOM,NW Caribbean Sea,Gulfstream Link

[RattleMan]

You can also watch an animated look at how the SSTs are progressing:

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1 ... /atsst.gif

[Aquawind]

Welp it does look warm out in the Atl Basin. Of course the northern lattitudes continue to be well above and now most of the entire basin is looking warm with the exception along the US coastline. If it is a early spring for the south and eastern states things are going to look warm for the hurricane season. The MDR is looking impressive above at this point and the days are only going to get longer.. Could be alot of deep warm water when the season starts..not good.

P.S. I am still looking for more links to show some Atl Basin temperature profile graphics similar to those for the Pacific ENSO..

[meteorologyman]

Recap

Pacific SST's continue to drop, Atlantic SST's continue to go up, The shearing winds is also dropping at skow rate in Atlantic, La nina maybe a possibility, waves have been coming off of Africa. The only good news for Atlantic right now is that the there is hardly any moisture in the center of Atlanic. I believe moisture is the only thing holding back an intense hurricane for this year, if we get moisture all of the ingredients will be in place spelling trouble, unless they all turn away from land.

Weather alert:
for those living in midwest and parts of southeast please becareful and prepare for tornado out break for this weekend as one will be taking place, we are heading into Tornado season.

[Kennethb]

Along with the SSTs, another sign of a busy season will be the loss of the El Nino. Upper level winds will almost certainly be more favorable this summer. It will be a matter of where the troughs and ridges set up who will be affected.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

My goodness those are some big-time anomolies...looks scary for hurricane season IMO.

[HURAKAN]

My goodness those are some big-time anomolies...looks scary for hurricane season IMO.

Now it's the time to get ready. Fortunately my parents installed last year a natural gas powered generator that starts itself when the power goes out. The hurricane shutters are ready. In case of a hurricane emergency we just need to get some food and water.

[GeneratorPower]

My goodness those are some big-time anomolies...looks scary for hurricane season IMO.

Now it's the time to get ready. Fortunately my parents installed last year a natural gas powered generator that starts itself when the power goes out. The hurricane shutters are ready. In case of a hurricane emergency we just need to get some food and water.

HURAKAN, I sell, service, and install those type of generators all day long and let me recommend that you find a good local service company to keep it going. It should do a self-test every week and you should manually check, clean, and change the oil every few months. The best thing is to physically cut the power to the home at the main breaker and make sure the thing starts, runs, transfers, and works properly.

If they have a Guardian Generac or any of the many other brands that are made by Generac, double your tests and make sure there are no factory defects in the machine. They are notorious for needing more maintenance than other more expensive brands.

Hope this isn't too much information. You don't know how many calls we get after a big power outage from people who say "it didn't start!".

[GeneratorPower]

They may also want to consider a backup for the natural gas service. A propane tank, correctly installed, might be used as an alternative fuel should the NG service go out.

[cycloneye]

The above graphic is about the Heat Content in the Atlantic Basin.The two areas that are the warmest right now are the Caribbean Sea,and the MDR east of the Lesser Antilles to around 40w.

[gatorcane]

Thanks Luis for this info. The UL winds killed the 2006 season, if the UL winds are light this year for 2007, it looks like it may get interesting given these anomalies.

[cycloneye]

The Tropical Atlantic East of the Lesser Antilles is warm for this time of the year.As the sun angle gets higher,more warm anomalies will be the rule unless a fairly strong Azores high dominates during the summer causing upwelling,cooling the waters.

Febuary 24 Anomalies

[Stormcenter]

I'm sorry but warmer temperatures are only one piece of the puzzle.
There have been many seasons in the past when the water was basically boiling and we still had an average or below average season. Anyway, as I've said many times before it only takes one major hurricane to cause mass death and destruction. I would still be concerned if the waters were below average right now.

[GeneratorPower]

I'm sorry but warmer temperatures are only one piece of the puzzle.
There have been many seasons in the past when the water was basically boiling and we still had an average or below average season. Anyway, as I've said many times before it only takes one major hurricane to cause mass death and destruction. I would still be concerned if the waters were below average right now.

Water temp seems to play more of a role in short-term forecasting because heat content affects the strength of the hurricane. But you are correct that other factors will usually dictate how active the season will be.

[cycloneye]

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1 ... /gosst.gif

The Gulf is for the most part still cool and it's normal to be this way in March.Let's watch as time goes by to see how much the GOM waters warm up.

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1 ... /atsst.gif

The same is for the Atlantic and Caribbean.Let's see as time goes by how warm the surface temps will be.However,as the anomalies are showing in the graphics at the first post of the thread,they are warmer than in 2006 for this time of the year.

[JonathanBelles]

It looked as if the Temps were cooling much of the atlantic

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Most of the Atlantic with the exception of the Gulf of Mexico is warmer than average. I think 2007 will be an active season. The cold fronts this time of year make it into the Gulf of Mexico but not much further south than that.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

The above graphic is about the Heat Content in the Atlantic Basin.The two areas that are the warmest right now are the Caribbean Sea,and the MDR east of the Lesser Antilles to around 40w.

Wow that is very impressive for this time of year for heat content!

[meteorologyman]

I can see these cyclone turn into catastophic monsters once they hit that stretch of hot spots this hurricane season, keep an eye out for warm eddies too during the season, thats what made katrina go into super nova

[Hurricaneman]

The above graphic is about the Heat Content in the Atlantic Basin.The two areas that are the warmest right now are the Caribbean Sea,and the MDR east of the Lesser Antilles to around 40w.

This is a very worrysome map