Mozambique Channel: ex-TC Jaya (ex-TC 22S)

[HURAKAN]

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.0S 77.5E,
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.5S 72.8E, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO
GARCIA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 281311Z SSMI
IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH FLARING DEEP
CONVECTION. CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS BUT,
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH AN ANTICYCLONE
EAST OF THE CENTER WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND LOW VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR.

Seems promising.

[HURAKAN]

[web]http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/TGPR/saison/DerSat.html[/web]

29/0830 UTC 13.1S 69.3E T1.5/1.5 94S

Becoming better organized.

[HURAKAN]

ZONE PERTURBEE 14-20062007

PRESSION ESTIMEE AU CENTRE : 1004 HPA.
POSITION LE 29 MARS A 16 HEURES LOCALES: 12.9 SUD / 69.0 EST
(DOUZE DEGRES NEUF SUD ET SOIXANTE-NEUF DEGRES ZERO EST).

DISTANCE DES COTES REUNIONNAISES: 1665 KM A L'EST-NORD-EST
DEPLACEMENT: OUEST A 12 KM/H.

VOICI LES INTENSITES ET POSITIONS PREVUES DE CE SYSTEME DEPRESSIONNAIRE AU COURS DES PROCHAINS JOURS

DEPR. TROPICALE, CENTRE POSITIONNE DANS 24H PAR 13.5S/66.6E
TEMP. TROP. MODEREE, CENTRE POSITIONNE DANS 48H PAR 14.6S/63.4E
FORTE TEMP. TROP., CENTRE POSITIONNE DANS 72H PAR 15.1S/59.4E

[Chacor]

WTIO30 FMEE 291236 CCA
*************** CORRECTIVE **************
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/14/20062007
1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 14

2.A POSITION 2007/03/29 AT 1200 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.9S / 69.0E
(TWELVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/1.5 /D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1004 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2007/03/30 00 UTC: 13.3S/67.8E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H: 2007/03/30 12 UTC: 13.5S/66.6E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
36H: 2007/03/31 00 UTC: 14.1S/65.2E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
.
48H: 2007/03/31 12 UTC: 14.6S/63.4E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
.
60H: 2007/04/01 00 UTC: 14.7S/61.6E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.
72H: 2007/04/01 12 UTC: 15.1S/59.4E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T AND CI=1.5+
UNDERGOING A NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR CONSTRAINT , THE LLCC IS
PARTIALLY EXPOSED NORTHEASTWARD OF THE MAIN DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.
A POLAR TROUGH IS SHIPPING SOUTH OF THIS SYSTEM , SO LOW LAYER POLEWARD
INFLOW IS NOT FAVOURABLE FOR A QUICK INTENSIFICATION. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO KEEP ON TRACKING GLOBALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE FORSEEN TO IMPROVE, WITH A CLEARLY WEAKENING VERTICAL
WINDSHEAR WITHIN THE N
EXT 24 HOURS BUT INTENSIFICATION SHOULD PROBABLY BEGIN ONLY ON SATURDAY
LINKED TO THE IMPROVING LOW LEVEL POLEWARD INFLOW IN RELATIONSHIP WITH
THE REBUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES BELT.
THIS SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING OVER THE NORTH OF
MASCARENES (NEAR 15S) AND SHOULD ONLY HAVE A MARGINAL INFLUENCE BY
INFORCED TRADE WINDS FLOW (OVER RODRIGUES ON THE 03/31, OVER MAURITIUS
AND LA REUNION, ON THE 01 AND THE 04/02).
AT THIS STAGE, THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.

[Chacor]

T2.0/2.0 from JTWC and SAB at 1130Z and 1430Z. T1.0/2.0 from KGWC at 1131Z. If KGWC gives 1.5 at next satfix we should see a TCFA soon.

[HURAKAN]

30/0230 UTC 13.1S 67.4E T2.5/2.5 94S -- South Indian Ocean

[HURAKAN]

MARCH 30 2007 0233Z
.
13.1S 67.4E T2.5/2.5/D1.0/24HRS 94S
.
PAST POSITIONS....13.6S 68.6E 29/1433Z IRNIGHT
12.6S 70.3E 29/0233Z IRNIGHT
.
REMARKS....STEADY IMPROVEMENT IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE LAST 24
HOURS. MEASURED 5/10 BANDING RESULTING IN A DT=2.5 .
.
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NMI.
.
THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 30/1000Z.
.
FOR AREAL DISPLAY OF RAINFALL POTENTIAL SEE OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/TROP/TRAP-IMG.HTML
ALL LOWER CASE LETTERS EXCEPT PS/TROP

[Chacor]

WTIO30 FMEE 300619

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 2/14/20062007
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14

2.A POSITION 2007/03/30 AT 0600 UTC :
13.4S / 66.9E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL NINE DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 28 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2007/03/30 18 UTC: 14.0S/65.0E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
24H: 2007/03/31 06 UTC: 14.2S/63.3E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
.
36H: 2007/03/31 18 UTC: 14.3S/61.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
.
48H: 2007/04/01 06 UTC: 14.3S/59.2E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
.
60H: 2007/04/01 18 UTC: 14.3S/57.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.
72H: 2007/04/02 06 UTC: 14.3S/54.5E, MAX WIND=055KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T AND CI=2.5-.
THE NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR CONSTRAINT HAS WEAKENED LAST NIGTH,
CONVECTION IS NOW BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE CENTER.
SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY AS THE IMPROVING LOW LEVEL
POLEWARD INFLOW IN RELATIONSHIP WITH THE REBUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH
PRESSURES BELT.
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GLOBALLY WESTWARDS, NORTH TO THE REBUILDING
SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES BELT.

[Chacor]

Looks interesting right now.

[Chacor]

TC 22S:

WTXS31 PGTW 300900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/300121MAR2007//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
300600Z --- NEAR 13.3S 67.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S 67.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 13.4S 65.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 13.7S 64.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 14.1S 63.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 14.3S 61.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
300900Z POSITION NEAR 13.3S 66.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 805 NM
NORTHEAST OF LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY REVEALS A WELL-DEVELOPED CIRCULATION WITH SUSTAINED
DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM. THE RATHER
SMALL CYCLONE HAS ORGANIZED RAPIDLY OVER THE LAST 18 HOURS
AND SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE REACHED 45 KNOTS. THE
CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AND INTENSIFY STEADILY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO
FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT, GOOD LOW-LEVEL INFLOW, AND SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES NEAR 29 DEGREES CELSIUS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES
AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 300121Z MAR 07 TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 300130). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z AND
310900Z.//

[HURAKAN]

30/0830 UTC 13.3S 66.7E T3.0/3.0 94S -- South Indian Ocean



Should be named "Jaya" soon.

[HURAKAN]

Looking good.

[Chacor]

It has been named.

Mauritius issued a track at 10am local calling it "Moderate Tropical Storm Jaya".

[P.K.]

Odd there is no note on the RSMC La Reunion bulletin saying it was named after they released their bulletin.

[Chacor]

Yeah, I checked around. Normally they add a line "Named at <TIME>" to their public advisory, but it's not there. Weird.

[Chacor]

MF 12Z has upgraded it to a 40kt TTM.

WTIO30 FMEE 301204

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 3/14/20062007
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 14

2.A POSITION 2007/03/30 AT 1200 UTC :
13.4S / 66.3E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 994 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 050 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 050

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2007/03/31 00 UTC: 13.4S/65.0E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
.
24H: 2007/03/31 12 UTC: 13.7S/63.7E, MAX WIND=050KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
.
36H: 2007/04/01 00 UTC: 14.0S/61.7E, MAX WIND=055KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.
48H: 2007/04/01 12 UTC: 14.2S/59.2E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.
60H: 2007/04/02 00 UTC: 14.4S/57.2E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE.
72H: 2007/04/02 12 UTC: 14.5S/55.1E, MAX WIND=070KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM SHOWS NOW A BANDING CURVED PATTERN. IT IS A SMALL SIZE SYSTEM,
AND THE ESTIMATED PRESSION IS HIGHER THAN FOR AVERAGE SIZE.
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GLOBALLY WESTWARDS, NORTH TO THE REBUILDING
SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES BELT.
SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY WITH THE IMPROVING LOW LEVEL
POLEWARD INFLOW IN RELATIONSHIP DUE TO THE REBUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH
PRESSURES BELT AND THE IMPROVING UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW.

[Chacor]

740
TPXS10 KGWC 301210
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S
B. 30/1131Z (20)
C. 13.3S/7
D. 66.1E/3
E. FOUR/MET7
F. T3.5/3.5/D2.5/24HRS/ STT: D0.5/06HRS -30/1131Z-
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

15A/ PBO TCB/ANMTN. CONVECTION WRAPS 1.00 TO YIELD A DT
OF T3.5. FT BASED ON DT. PT SUPPORTS, WHILE MET WAS UNREP AT
T2.5. DUE TO RAPID INTENSIFICATION, FT CONSTRAINTS
WERE BKN.

KRAMER/BROWN

289
TPXS10 PGTW 301213

A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (NO NAME)

B. 30/1130Z

C. 13.4S/8

D. 66.3E/5

E. FOUR/MET7

F. T3.5/3.5/D1.5/24HRS STT: D0.5/06HRS (30/1130Z)

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI LLCC

15A/PBO TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING/ANMTN. CONVECTION WRAPS
1.00 ON LOG 10 SPIRAL FOR A DT OF 3.5. PT AND MET
SUPPORT. DBO DT.

[HURAKAN]

TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE JAYA

PRESSION ESTIMEE AU CENTRE : 994 HPA.
POSITION LE 30 MARS A 16 HEURES LOCALES: 13.4 SUD / 66.3 EST
(TREIZE DEGRES QUATRE SUD ET SOIXANTE-SIX DEGRES TROIS EST).

DISTANCE DES COTES REUNIONNAISES: 1400 KM AU NORD-EST
DEPLACEMENT: OUEST A 9 KM/H.

VOICI LES INTENSITES ET POSITIONS PREVUES DE CE SYSTEME DEPRESSIONNAIRE AU COURS DES PROCHAINS JOURS

TEMP. TROP. MODEREE, CENTRE POSITIONNE DANS 24H PAR 13.7S/63.7E
FORTE TEMP. TROP., CENTRE POSITIONNE DANS 48H PAR 14.2S/59.2E
CYCLONE TROPICAL, CENTRE POSITIONNE DANS 72H PAR 14.5S/55.1E

[P.K.]

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 4/14/20062007
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 14 (JAYA)

2.A POSITION 2007/03/30 AT 1800 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.6S / 65.7E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/3.5 /D 1.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 987 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 080 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 080

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2007/03/31 06 UTC: 13.7S/64.2E, MAX WIND=055KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.
24H: 2007/03/31 18 UTC: 14.0S/62.6E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.
36H: 2007/04/01 06 UTC: 14.4S/60.4E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE.
48H: 2007/04/01 18 UTC: 14.9S/58.0E, MAX WIND=070KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE.
60H: 2007/04/02 06 UTC: 14.9S/55.5E, MAX WIND=080KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE.
72H: 2007/04/02 18 UTC: 13.9S/53.2E, MAX WIND=090KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL..

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T AND CI=3.5-
IT IS A SMALL SIZE SYSTEM SHOWING A BANDING CURVED PATTERN.
SYSTEM KEEPS ON TRACKING GLOBALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS, ON THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE REBUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES BELT.
SYSTEM IS FORSEEN TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY WITH THE IMPROVING LOW LEVEL
POLEWARD INFLOW AND UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW.
BEYOND 48H TO 60 HOURS , SYSTEM SHOULD RECURVE NORTHWESTWARDS UNDER
INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL HIGHS LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN MOZAMBICAN CHANNEL.
IT SHOULD ALSO MORE CLEARLY INTENSIFY UNDER VERY FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS LINKED TO A VERY GOOD LOW LEVEL INFLOW AND AN EXCELLENT UPPER
LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW IN RELATIONSHIP WITH AN EXISTING WESTERLY
SUBTROPICAL JET NEAR 25S.

[HURAKAN]

Becoming much better organized.