SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA, Analysis, Sat Pics, Models Thread

#1 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:15 am

Invest 90L

#2 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:16 am

The low thread will be locked now.Continue the discussions here.

Chacor · #3 Postby **Chacor** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:19 am

An early start to the season, then. Of course, NRL does call non-tropical systems INVESTs sometimes but most times it's when NHC are really looking closely at it so I won't be surprised if advisories got started or they add it posthumously to the rosteer...

#4 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:19 am

What everyone has been waiting since Nov. 30, 2006. The first invest of the 2007 hurricane season.

#5 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:20 am

Interestingly, this is what NRL has.

20070508.1214.f13.x.85hw.90LINVEST.50kts-NAmb-304N-773W.76pc.jpg

Chacor · #6 Postby **Chacor** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:23 am

Sandy, could you please edit your first post to avoid the page stretching? Thanks!

#7 Postby **NDG** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:26 am

Low pressure is now over 77 deg SST, there's been plenty of other subtropical systems develop in that range. Again, the only killer to indentification as it gets closer to the coast is the much drier air along the coast, but we have to look at it this way, there is now warmer & moist air flowing into the system as well, :wink:

#8 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:29 am

HURAKAN,I edited your first post to take out the very long link and add a hypertext link.

#9 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:31 am

cycloneye wrote:HURAKAN,I edited your first post to take out the very long link and add a hypertext link.

I had already done it but thanks!!!

#10 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:32 am

08/1145 UTC 30.3N 77.5W ST2.5/2.5 90L -- Atlantic Ocean

Moving more south now.

#11 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:34 am

http://www1.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rms ... PICAL.html

Looks really nice in the loop. Beginning to look more subtropical.

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #12 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:36 am

2007 Hurricane Season has begun.
With warmer SSTs and Moisture we
should see a subtropical storm
Remember in 2005 we had a Tropical
Storm Vince or Epsilon Whichever over
76 degree water if I recall correctly.

SCMedic · #13 Postby **SCMedic** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:36 am

SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
950 AM EDT TUE MAY 8 2007

A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...CENTERED ABOUT 230 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA COASTS...HAS BEEN
MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING
GALE-FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY SURF ALONG THE COASTS OF NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTH CAROLINA...AND GEORGIA...WITH STRONGER WINDS
OFFSHORE. ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED SINCE
YESTERDAY...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING OF THIS SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED. THE LOW IS BEING MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF TROPICAL OR
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT...AND AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE AVAILABLE TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM
TOMORROW MORNING...IF NECESSARY.

Heading out here in Charleston, SC to check out the waves... Local forecast calling for possible low topped supercells coming in off the atlantic.... I'll be sure to get some good pics!

#14 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:38 am

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE AREA OFF SOUTH CAROLINA
A. 09/1200Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST
C. 09/0930Z
D. 31.8N 79.4W
E. 09/1100Z-09/1800Z
F. SFC TO 10,000FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD.shtml?

In case you didn't see it.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #15 Postby **senorpepr** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:47 am

People have been questioning why recon wasn't scheduled for today. My best guess (and maybe if Pojo sees this, she'll add her two cents) is that 90L didn't get "recon-worthy" until after the Plan of the Day was issued. Since the crews need at least 24-hours of notice before flying... they couldn't get it a flight for today, so they're trying for tomorrow.

#16 Postby **Stormcenter** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:48 am

HURAKAN wrote:What everyone has been waiting since Nov. 30, 2006. The first invest of the 2007 hurricane season.

Speak for yourself. Personally I'm looking forward to Nov. 30th 2007.

Chacor · #17 Postby **Chacor** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:48 am

Will it have "made landfall"/crossed the coast by then though?

Chacor · #18 Postby **Chacor** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:50 am

Latest:

#19 Postby **wxman57** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:50 am

senorpepr wrote:People have been questioning why recon wasn't scheduled for today. My best guess (and maybe if Pojo sees this, she'll add her two cents) is that 90L didn't get "recon-worthy" until after the Plan of the Day was issued. Since the crews need at least 24-hours of notice before flying... they couldn't get it a flight for today, so they're trying for tomorrow.

"Recon-worthy"? Reminds me of Seinfeld episode... ;-)

Chacor · #20 Postby **Chacor** » Tue May 08, 2007 9:53 am

Okay, an admittedly-cynical question: How long until the media starts hyping up the "early start", if they do decide to do so? Can't be long I imagine.

SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA, Analysis, Sat Pics, Models Thread

SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA, Analysis, Sat Pics, Models Thread

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