Will This Wet May Keep The SFL Hurricanes Away?

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Blown Away
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Will This Wet May Keep The SFL Hurricanes Away?

#1 Postby Blown Away » Sun May 20, 2007 8:08 am

SFL rainfall for May is near normal. If you believe Jim Lushine's theory has merit than this May rainfall might be a good sign for the SFL hurricane season. SFL has been getting regular rainfall for the past 10+ days and if we keep that pace the May totals will be near normal or above. I overall SFL deficit is still very low.

http://www.insurancejournal.com/news/so ... tm?print=1

http://www.sfwmd.gov/curre/rainmaps/monthly.html
Last edited by Blown Away on Sun May 20, 2007 5:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby wxwonder12 » Sun May 20, 2007 8:26 am

That is the question I just "tried" to ask in the got a question forum. You asked it alot better then I did :wink:
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#3 Postby deltadog03 » Sun May 20, 2007 9:13 am

The ONLY reason we have been getting rain lately is because we have had a nice easterly flow. So, I would have to think that it could hurt us as well as help us. I am gonna say its a nuetral signal. lol
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#4 Postby Scorpion » Sun May 20, 2007 9:56 am

This is perhaps the stupidest theory I have ever heard of... especially when we are still in a drought
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#5 Postby boca » Sun May 20, 2007 5:28 pm

Just because Central and South Dade are getting rain doesn't mean the rest of S FL is out of the drought. When we have a hurricane out their is dependent on where the high is and how strong it is to dictate direction, not if were getting rain in May.
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#6 Postby Blown Away » Sun May 20, 2007 5:59 pm

boca wrote:Just because Central and South Dade are getting rain doesn't mean the rest of S FL is out of the drought. When we have a hurricane out their is dependent on where the high is and how strong it is to dictate direction, not if were getting rain in May.


Nobody is saying forget the SFL hurricane season if May is wet, but I think there has been some good examples to give this theory some merit.
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#7 Postby caneman » Sun May 20, 2007 6:11 pm

Blown_away wrote:
boca wrote:Just because Central and South Dade are getting rain doesn't mean the rest of S FL is out of the drought. When we have a hurricane out their is dependent on where the high is and how strong it is to dictate direction, not if were getting rain in May.


Nobody is saying forget the SFL hurricane season if May is wet, but I think there has been some good examples to give this theory some merit.


What rain? Hasn't been any here in the Tampa Bay region.....
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#8 Postby Blown Away » Sun May 20, 2007 6:25 pm

caneman wrote:
Blown_away wrote:
boca wrote:Just because Central and South Dade are getting rain doesn't mean the rest of S FL is out of the drought. When we have a hurricane out their is dependent on where the high is and how strong it is to dictate direction, not if were getting rain in May.


Nobody is saying forget the SFL hurricane season if May is wet, but I think there has been some good examples to give this theory some merit.


What rain? Hasn't been any here in the Tampa Bay region.....


Theory is based on South Fl May rainfall, Tampa is not included. Hope some rain makes it your way soon.
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#9 Postby WeatherWiseGuy » Sun May 20, 2007 7:13 pm

There must be one little rain cloud stuck over Miami because most of Florida is in a severe drought with fires on our doorstep.
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#10 Postby Opal storm » Sun May 20, 2007 7:18 pm

WeatherWiseGuy wrote:There must be one little rain cloud stuck over Miami because most of Florida is in a severe drought with fires on our doorstep.
lol I agree. It's only been a "wet May" for 10% of the state.
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#11 Postby Noah » Sun May 20, 2007 7:33 pm

I did a double take too when I saw this post. I think it rained a total of 30 seconds one day last week.
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#12 Postby Blown Away » Sun May 20, 2007 8:06 pm

Theory is based on South Florida May rainfall...

Definitions of South Florida:

The Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach metropolitan area, more commonly referred to as South Florida or the Tri-County Area, encompasses a tri-county area of southeastern Florida. It is the largest urbanized area in Florida and one of the largest in the American South.
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#13 Postby kba981 » Sun May 20, 2007 9:03 pm

want may of 05 dry? we got frances and jeane
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#14 Postby hurricanehortense » Sun May 20, 2007 9:06 pm

But Frances and Jeanne were in 04
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#15 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun May 20, 2007 9:10 pm

hurricanehortense wrote:But Frances and Jeanne were in 04


haha. That was a silly mistake by saying they were in 05. That would have been a horrible year if they were.
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#16 Postby meteorologyman » Mon May 21, 2007 10:04 am

There is a High Pressure sitting over the majority of Southeastern and Central states including Florida hence no rain and drought conditions, however the very souther part of Florida (Miami) is outside the highpressure, so they are getting tropical moisture, if there was any name storm out there and that it was close by Florida and it was Florida that was going to take a hit I believe it would most likely hit Southern Fl b/c highpressure is protecting central Florida and Northward.
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