United States Landfalling Hurricane Probability Project

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KatDaddy
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United States Landfalling Hurricane Probability Project

#1 Postby KatDaddy » Sat Jun 02, 2007 9:36 am

From Dr Gray and Philip K. of CSU

http://www.e-transit.org/hurricane/welcome.html

This is pretty cool. The Spreadsheet format is the easiest to read. S Florida and middle TX Coast have some the highest probs.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Berwick Bay

#2 Postby Berwick Bay » Sat Jun 02, 2007 9:52 am

Katdaddy, my computer skills are rather lacking. So this map is highlighting areas of higher risk for the 2007 Season?? You mentioned S Fl and Central Texas Coast? Is that what Dr. Gray is saying? I'm not a real big fan of the Dr., but it would be nice to see him go out on a limb and make a stab at more specific landfall sites, than just picking whole areas of the coast the way he used to do. Of course he is a scientist, and perhaps the science is just not there yet. My own landfall forcast is centered on two places in the Gulf, New Iberia, La. and Pascagoula, Miss. I could detail this a little further, but will wait for now.
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#3 Postby KatDaddy » Sat Jun 02, 2007 9:57 am

Select the link in blue named Landfall Probability Table. The will open up an Excel spreadsheet that is easy to read compared to the interactive map.
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#4 Postby OuterBanker » Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:24 am

Actually the map section is actually better because it gives you the prob table this year and the normal or aver probs for the same area. fyi our area Dare co region 8 is around twice the average this year. It is easy to navigate, just use the + to zoom in on your area and then hit the I (information) when you get to your county. The top figures are for your region at the bottom is your sub region.

http://www.e-transit.org/hurricane/map.asp
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#5 Postby cajungal » Sat Jun 02, 2007 12:21 pm

I keep getting kicked off the internet every single time I try to click on that link. Tried 4 times already. My parish of Terrebonne is listed in the orange, so is that considered high risk? Can you explain the color coding? Because everytime I try to click further, I get kicked off.
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#6 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat Jun 02, 2007 12:28 pm

I can not access the maps for some reason...
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#7 Postby wxman57 » Sat Jun 02, 2007 1:57 pm

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