Area to keep a eye on-Western Atlantic off Florida

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

A broad area of low pressure/ULL over the western Atlantic near 26 north/76.5 west. This area has been forming convection over the last 12 hours. Also this area has shear decreasing to its north of 26 at 5-10 knots. Which case we have to watch it for some slow development...A piece of energy made landfall around 26-27 north into Florida this morning(that area that had the big flare up). If shear stays low tropical cyclones have formed from area's like this.

Since theres nothing else,

[CW0262]

I agree...been watching that all morning...Training showers through here

[wzrgirl1]

A broad area of low pressure/ULL over the western Atlantic near 26 north/76.5 west. This area has been forming convection over the last 12 hours. Also this area has shear decreasing to its north of 26 at 5-10 knots. Which case we have to watch it for some slow development...A piece of energy made landfall around 26-27 north into Florida this morning(that area that had the big flare up). If shear stays low tropical cyclones have formed from area's like this.

Since theres nothing else,

send a link please

[jasons2k]

I think this is now the 3rd thread on this same system

[Thunder44]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 081519
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA EASTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS AND INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW.
SURFACE PRESSURES ARE HIGH IN THIS AREA AND DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

[windstorm99]

Area looks very disorganized but hopefully we can get some more rain over the lake and florida.Things look to be on a drying trend as we get into the weekend.

[cpdaman]

we just got a good inch of rain in boca, the rain is widepsread and heavy across the southern part of the state

intrestingly enough the showers went around the lake, but don't worry there will be more later , its still very hot and unstable there

btw temp dropped from 88 to 74 and wind has picked up from the N at about 18 gusting to 25 and this is after the rain

[Typhoon_Willie]

You can see some twisting of the showers on theMiami radar loop.

[miamicanes177]

shear is not too high so this has to be watched for tropical depression formation.

[windstorm99]

Just got nailed....Severe thunderstorm moving right over my house with gust to 45mph on my anemometer.

Here are some pics from in front of my house about 45 minutes ago...

[vmax135]

Wow... beautiful shots Adrian!!! I took some pics of the same storm from my office overlooking downtown Miami.

-=Michael=-

Michael Laca
www.tropmet.com

[windstorm99]

Wow... beautiful shots Adrian!!! I took some pics of the same storm from my office overlooking downtown Miami.

-=Michael=-

Michael Laca
www.tropmet.com

Thanks mike...

Some very dark clouds over my house before it really came down with very gusty winds it lasted about 15-20 minutes at most.The clouds were impressive though.

[vacanechaser]

great shots windstorm... looks like a small wallcloud there... hoping we see some action here later.... yours of course is coming from the ull... we have a huge line to our west... very nice shots..


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[Opal storm]

I don't see anything coming from this, it's sitting over low shear and nothing is happening with it. Just a disorganized area of weak to moderate convection.

[StormTracker]

Wow, I was out in the streets working(FedEx)when that storm came through, wishing I had my camera with me(I better start bringing it with me everyday now that we're in the season)to get some awesome pics of the clouds that were rolling in! Thanks for backing up my thoughts windstorm99! Did anybody notice the spin on some of the low-level clouds! That was very cool-looking but scary at the same time!!!

[SouthFloridawx]

I don't see anything coming from this, it's sitting over low shear and nothing is happening with it. Just a disorganized area of weak to moderate convection.

Most of the time with tropical development, it takes time for a disorganized area of disturbed weather to organize.

As it moves west and remains under low shear we may see some development out of this. It's sitting under upper level high pressure. Also in addition to that as it is mostly associated with and mid to upper level disturbance. Upper level lows take time to make it to the surface. The disturbed weather is also located under High Pressure, with and additional area of high pressure is expected to build in, which, if anything at the surface develops, should head westward as the NAM suggested.

What also needs to be watched is the fact the the TAFB has an area of low pressure in the Caribbean moving northward.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... testBW.gif

It will be interesting to see if any interaction that this, may or may not have with the, possible area that is firing up under the Upper Level/Mid Level Low.






And we have some surface convergence... granted not much.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8conv.html

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT FRI JUN 8 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS AND INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL
LOW. SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH IN THIS AREA AND DEVELOPMENT IS
NOT ANTICIPATED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Copy and paste from the 11:30 AM EDT TWO.

[windstorm99]

Thanks guys for the comments on the pics....we actuallly tied a recored day time low at 67 degrees at 1:51pm this afternoon because of the thunderstorm. Adrian

[StormTracker]

Well it looks like this is the thread that has taken priority about this system, so I'll post this here! I know it takes time for these things to develop, but look @ this loop carefully! Interesting isn't it???
Western Atlantic - AVN Color Infrared Loop

[tbstorm]

Local mets said this area is also under the influence of an upper level low... its circulation helped give us some severe thunderstorms in the Tampa bay area today

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=95265