I Want To Play A Game!

[Berwick Bay]

http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat ... op-12.html

As most would agree, conditions for development don't appear very positive anywhere in the Atlantic Basin right now. Some have speculated on possible development in the NW Carribean, but from reading their posts, it looks to me that they see this as rather a longshot. And its true, that in general its always safer to be conservative when forecasting tropical development. You will be a "winner" in most cases. BUT I WANT TO PLAY A GAME. STRICTY PRETEND, SO YOU DON'T HAVE TO WORRY ABOUT LOSING YOUR TROPICAL CREDENTIALS. Looking at the WV Loop(posted above) and using anything you already know about the current situation, IF YOU HAD TO PICK A PLACE WHERE UNEXPECTED DEVELOPMENT MIGHT OCCUR IN THE NEXT 5-7 DAYS, WHERE WOULD THAT BE. Of course you don't have to play if you don't want to.

I see a very confused situation over the Gulf at this time. My pick would be just north of the Yucatan Penninsula. ULL moving away to SW. Diving trough to move a little further south, but area along N and NW of Yucatan may be a little "out of its reach". High over Mexico perhaps to back off a little to the West. VOILA, a niche or spot between these systems just off the NW Coast of the Yucatan. (HEY, DIDN'T I PICK THAT SPOT ALREADY?) Yes, and it appears my timeframe was not correct. I look around for a "better candidate, and I can't find one. Very little is happening, and I want to play. This is still my "best bet available" for possible development. Anyone else want to play??

[KWT]

The whole Atlantic doesn't really look able to support tropical deelopment, shear seems high across much of the basin right now, too high for development anyway. If I had to pick one spot it would have to be the Sw Caribbean, only because that area in the past has been the area for develpment and een then i think it would have to be a very small chance given the upper lows nearby.

[Berwick Bay]

Thanks KWT for getting us started. Thats how you play. You're right, none of these places are positive for development right now. But you did good. The rules say you have to pick a place thats most likely (albeit a long shot).

[JonathanBelles]

I would pick the SW Caribbean also. I dont think that low to the NW of the Yucatan can develop.

[Weatherfreak000]

Don't know if I entirely agree.


Certainly the BOC area is quite conducive for development shear wise, probably given a strong low able to support even a hurricane.

The Mid-Atlantic area at about 20 N to 45-75W seems to slowly but surely be getting a little more conducive as well, with some of the remains of 93L pushing through the area.


And of course, the SW Caribbean is generally always a good spot technically shear wise, noting that area seems to be a bit unfair.

[Cyclone1]

If I had to pick an area where a storm would form, my bet goes to the low off the coast of Florida. But, I really don't expect anything to form at all, anywhere, for the time being.

[Berwick Bay]

Don't know if I entirely agree.


Certainly the BOC area is quite conducive for development shear wise, probably given a strong low able to support even a hurricane.

The Mid-Atlantic area at about 20 N to 45-75W seems to slowly but surely be getting a little more conducive as well, with some of the remains of 93L pushing through the area.


And of course, the SW Caribbean is generally always a good spot technically shear wise, noting that area seems to be a bit unfair.

But Weatherfreak, I'm going to have to "slap your wrists". Remember the rules say you have to pick ONE PLACE. Okay, would you like to try again.

[Weatherfreak000]

Don't know if I entirely agree.


Certainly the BOC area is quite conducive for development shear wise, probably given a strong low able to support even a hurricane.

The Mid-Atlantic area at about 20 N to 45-75W seems to slowly but surely be getting a little more conducive as well, with some of the remains of 93L pushing through the area.


And of course, the SW Caribbean is generally always a good spot technically shear wise, noting that area seems to be a bit unfair.

But Weatherfreak, I'm going to have to "slap your wrists". Remember the rules say you have to pick ONE PLACE. Okay, would you like to try again.

I was more or less responding to another poster about his comment on how he thought the whole ATL can't really support development.


I think without a doubt the most Conducive and most Climatologically favored area as of right now is the Bay of Campeche, hands down.

[SouthFloridawx]

I would say the SE Bahamas or the Turks & Caicos,

[boca]

I'd say just north of the Honduras coastline.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

There are upper level lows that continue to generate
strong shear across much of the GOM...development if any
may occur in the Caribbean but conditions look
very unfavorable and could remain that way for
quite some time.

[wobblehead]

East of Pata Rica, northeast of the windwards. What the hey. I can guess as bad as anyone.

[Dean4Storms]

For the heck of it I'd say the SE Gulf in 3 days.

[Weatherfreak14]

If anything would develop in the next 2 weeks it would most likely be in SW Carribean

[miamicanes177]

I don't want to play

[Dynamic]

East of the Winwards / Leeward islands.

[King-6]

I'd say about 20.00 degree north and 71.00 degree west.

[WindRunner]

Gulf of Tehuantepec

[micktooth]

Not sure but I think we have played a similar game before...
http://www.imsai.net/movies/wargames.htm

[Ivanhater]

This thread sound like something out of the SAW movies