LOW FORMING IN NW Caribbean RECON TOMORROW

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drezee
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LOW FORMING IN NW Caribbean RECON TOMORROW

#1 Postby drezee » Thu Jun 14, 2007 9:44 am

399
NOUS42 KNHC 141400
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EDT THU 14 JUN 2007
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z JUNE 2007
TCPOD NUMBER.....07-022

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (GULF OF MEXICO)
A. 15/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01DDA INVEST
C. 15/1600Z
D. 24.0N 84.0W
E. 15/1530Z TO 15/2300Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP
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Extremeweatherguy
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#2 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Thu Jun 14, 2007 9:47 am

wow. When did this happen? I had not checked the tropics for a good day now and then I come back and see this?!
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#3 Postby Chacor » Thu Jun 14, 2007 9:47 am

TWO is due out at 11:30...
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#4 Postby Frank2 » Thu Jun 14, 2007 9:49 am

Nothing to get too excited about - the upper level winds are not very favorable at all...
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#5 Postby Chacor » Thu Jun 14, 2007 9:49 am

Image
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#6 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Jun 14, 2007 9:49 am

seems like it would be a quick mover.

Conditions appear marginal. If this develops, which the chances are small, it likely would not be anything more than Barry
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#7 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Jun 14, 2007 9:51 am

If the ULL, stays to the northwest of this system, it will not prevent, but aid in ventilation of a possible low.
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#8 Postby Damar91 » Thu Jun 14, 2007 9:53 am

And here we go!! 8-)
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#9 Postby NDG » Thu Jun 14, 2007 9:54 am

This is where I put the low forming this mornig just off the coast of northern Belize and MX in the Yucatan Peninsula. Actually the weak broad low started forming last evening over Belize and has continued move NNE, now just off shore

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#10 Postby Damar91 » Thu Jun 14, 2007 9:55 am

Hopefully nothing comes of this because guess what won't be available on Sunday! :eek:
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#11 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Jun 14, 2007 9:56 am

Does this mean BB was right again?
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#12 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Jun 14, 2007 9:56 am

What? wow! I wasnt watching this area. Is this strike 3 for Fl?
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#13 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Thu Jun 14, 2007 9:57 am

Stormcenter wrote:Does this mean BB was right again?
Not unless it crosses the yucatan and forms to the NW of it. His prediction called for formation near 24N, 92W.
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#14 Postby A1A » Thu Jun 14, 2007 9:57 am

Damar91 wrote:Hopefully nothing comes of this because guess what won't be available on Sunday! :eek:

Did I miss an announcement? What won't be available?
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#15 Postby MWatkins » Thu Jun 14, 2007 9:58 am

That little tail stretching back to the south is interesting...

Hard to see it getting going quickly...also...I am not sure the NHC is thinking there is much long-term potential. Although they have put a low level invest on the schedule for tomorrow...they don't plan to do any tasking Saturday. Fairly persistent SW flow should take this over Cuba and into the atlantic...predominantly as a rain event.

At least we have a little something to watch today...

MW
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#16 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Thu Jun 14, 2007 9:59 am

fact789 wrote:What? wow! I wasnt watching this area. Is this strike 3 for Fl?
Assuming it actually forms and hits FL, then yes..but there is still a good chance it could either not form or not hit FL. Time will tell..
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#17 Postby Damar91 » Thu Jun 14, 2007 9:59 am

A1A wrote:
Damar91 wrote:Hopefully nothing comes of this because guess what won't be available on Sunday! :eek:

Did I miss an announcement? What won't be available?


This site won't because that is the day they are replacing the servers.
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#18 Postby NDG » Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:02 am

Stormcenter wrote:Does this mean BB was right again?


Heck no, I tried for him to change his mind to the NW Caribbean, but he did not took my advise.
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#19 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:02 am

Wow thias is happening all so fast .... with the recon heading tommrow i wonder if this will be an invest any time soon.
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#20 Postby windstorm99 » Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 am

Convection has indeed been pretty persistent the last few days but looks a little more concentrated this morning...

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