TSR lowers its forecast a bit:
http://tsr.mssl.ucl.ac.uk/
From the June forecast of 16-9-4 to July values of 15-8-3.5 (TS-H-MH)
TSR July Forecast=15/8/3
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
TSR July Forecast=15/8/3
0 likes
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145888
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: TSR July Forecast=15/8/3
What they mainly base the little downward July forecast is that the trade winds will be strong and that factor will cool the waters in the MDR region between Africa and the Lesser Antilles.
I wonder if the Cape Verde Season will not be as active as first thought?
I wonder if the Cape Verde Season will not be as active as first thought?
0 likes
-
StormWarning1
- Category 1
- Posts: 254
- Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 9:29 pm
- Location: Nashville TN
Re: TSR July Forecast=15/8/3
cycloneye wrote:What they mainly base the little downward July forecast is that the trade winds will be strong and that factor will cool the waters in the MDR region between Africa and the Lesser Antilles.
I wonder if the Cape Verde Season will not be as active as first thought?
Thats what I gather from their Forecast Summary at the beginning of the article, one less storm forming in the MDR region.
Still, 14 more storms for the rest of the season is still quite a bit above normal, but, I noticed they count tropical depressions that do not reach storm status in their totals for the season.
IF 96L becomes a depression but never reaches tropical storm strength it counts as one of the 14.
0 likes