Large area of storms off of Hatteras...

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z-bail
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Large area of storms off of Hatteras...

#1 Postby z-bail » Tue Jul 10, 2007 9:02 am

I see a large area of storms off of Hatteras this morning and I read in Jeff Master's blog that a front was due to come off that area and would needed to be watched if it stalled. Any opinions on whether it has a chance of forming? In my untrained eyes it is starting to look like something to watch. It's quite massive already!
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Re: Large area of storms off of Hatteras...

#2 Postby Eyewall » Tue Jul 10, 2007 9:09 am

well i was about say that its gonna blow out in a few hrs but it looks kinda intense.. should be watched, but it will need to stop moving.
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Re: Large area of storms off of Hatteras...

#3 Postby boca » Tue Jul 10, 2007 9:19 am

This is out of Moorehead City NC NWS

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
CURRENTLY SEEING CONVECTION DEVELOPING JUST OFFSHORE AND MOVING
INTO THE SOUTHERN COASTAL AREAS. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE
TODAY AS AN UPPER VORT MAX MOVES ACROSS THE AREA...ALONG WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OVER 2 IN. KEPT POPS IN THE 40 PERCENT
RANGE NEAR THE COAST TO 30 PERCENT WELL INLAND. OUTSIDE OF
SHOWERS...HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE WITH MOST AREAS AWAY
FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST SEEING HIGHS WELL INTO THE 90S WITH HEAT
INDICIES APPROACHING 105 DEGREES.


&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WARM AND MUGGY AGAIN TONIGHT WITH INCREASED STABILITY AS VORT MAX
MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA. WILL CONTINUE CHC POPS FOR COASTAL AREA
TONIGHT...THEN SLGT CHC POPS FOR THE ENTIRE CWA WED AND WED NIGHT.
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE AREA ON THU HELPING TO
INCREASE DYNAMICS FOR SCT TSTM DVPLMNT. EXPECT HOT AND HUMID
SUMMER CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE WED WITH HEAT INDICIES AGAIN
APPROACHING DANGEROUS LEVELS. SLIGHTLY LESS HUMID CONDITIONS
EXPECTED THU.

It will be moving out but it looks impressive.
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#4 Postby Cyclone1 » Tue Jul 10, 2007 9:19 am

It sure is intense convection from nowhere...
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Re: Large area of storms off of Hatteras...

#5 Postby Bane » Tue Jul 10, 2007 9:32 am

It isn't from "nowhere." A weak shortwave moved offshore this morning in the west to east flow. I seriously doubt it becomes anything more than a blob of thunderstorms.
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Re: Large area of storms off of Hatteras...

#6 Postby storms in NC » Tue Jul 10, 2007 9:51 am

Bane wrote:It isn't from "nowhere." A weak shortwave moved offshore this morning in the west to east flow. I seriously doubt it becomes anything more than a blob of thunderstorms.


I have been watching it all morning building up as it moved off shore. I have been looking at it cause I fish around there and I am glad I went Sunday cause this week will be bad for fishing. The winds and ruff sea this week. Don't see it calming down any time soon. High humidity and high temps. Just making the waters warmer and warmer.

But any thing can happen these days. Nothing then bamm watch out.
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#7 Postby storms in NC » Tue Jul 10, 2007 10:41 am

It will be moving out but it looks impressive.


I don't think it will move out that fast. It looks good if it had any spin to it. But I think it will move more to the South East than to the East.
These home grown storms come up fast some times. While I think it is only T-storms now it could turn into something. I have seen it done many times. Everyone would say No way then a few days later we have a storm to deal with. I would grant that it wouldn't be a big one for it is to close to shore. But I think some could use the rain.
:wink:
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#8 Postby NDG » Tue Jul 10, 2007 11:25 am

There's nothing at the surface that would indicate cyclonic development for now.
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Re: Large area of storms off of Hatteras...

#9 Postby Category 5 » Tue Jul 10, 2007 11:43 am

I saw that earlier but nothing I've been looking at indicates development.
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Re: Large area of storms off of Hatteras...

#10 Postby storms in NC » Tue Jul 10, 2007 12:32 pm

Category 5 wrote:I saw that earlier but nothing I've been looking at indicates development.


I don't see any thing that would indicates development yet. But if I remember right last year Beryl formed and every one said the same thing. But it did make something out of itself but only a TS. on July 18th
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Re: Large area of storms off of Hatteras...

#11 Postby Cyclone1 » Tue Jul 10, 2007 12:39 pm

storms in NC wrote:
Category 5 wrote:I saw that earlier but nothing I've been looking at indicates development.


I don't see any thing that would indicates development yet. But if I remember right last year Beryl formed and every one said the same thing. But it did make something out of itself but only a TS. on July 18th


Convection is much deeper than Beryl's precursor.
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Re: Large area of storms off of Hatteras...

#12 Postby z-bail » Tue Jul 10, 2007 12:43 pm

wow, the latest infrared shows all that weather has really amassed into one nice big ball now and if i didn't know better it certainly looks like a tropical storm of sorts. looks like the last 3 or 4 frames on the carribean loop even show some spin to that blob as well...
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Re: Large area of storms off of Hatteras...

#13 Postby Cyclone1 » Tue Jul 10, 2007 12:47 pm

z-bail wrote:wow, the latest infrared shows all that weather has really amassed into one nice big ball now and if i didn't know better it certainly looks like a tropical storm of sorts. looks like the last 3 or 4 frames on the carribean loop even show some spin to that blob as well...


Personally I would have thought convection would be dying out by now. On the contrary, it's getting stronger. And yes, there is definitely a hint of rotation with this storm. If this current trend holds up, I could see 97L by tonight.
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#14 Postby jrod » Tue Jul 10, 2007 12:49 pm

I checked al the buoys and the outer banks weather reports, there is no sign of a circulation or pressure drops so it is nothing but a huge thunderstorm. If it stalls or drifts southwest(as it appears to be doing) I do believe it has a chance to develop just not for a few days.
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Re: Large area of storms off of Hatteras...

#15 Postby storms in NC » Tue Jul 10, 2007 12:51 pm

Cyclone1 wrote:
z-bail wrote:wow, the latest infrared shows all that weather has really amassed into one nice big ball now and if i didn't know better it certainly looks like a tropical storm of sorts. looks like the last 3 or 4 frames on the carribean loop even show some spin to that blob as well...


Personally I would have thought convection would be dying out by now. On the contrary, it's getting stronger. And yes, there is definitely a hint of rotation with this storm. If this current trend holds up, I could see 97L by tonight.


Okay stop reading my brain. LOL I think we all took a look at the same time.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-wv.html
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#16 Postby Cyclone1 » Tue Jul 10, 2007 12:55 pm

I wasn't reading your mind! I only do that when I'm really bored, I promise. :wink:
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#17 Postby O Town » Tue Jul 10, 2007 12:57 pm

Looks pretty impresive.

Image
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#18 Postby Cyclone1 » Tue Jul 10, 2007 12:58 pm

Wow, I like that image! Looks better than Beryl ever did, at least to the amateur eye.
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#19 Postby punkyg » Tue Jul 10, 2007 12:59 pm

WOW! thats one pretty 9 shaped convection ball.
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#20 Postby storms in NC » Tue Jul 10, 2007 1:04 pm

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