05 vs 06 vs 07 Scorecard

[dwg71]

I've done this the past two seasons. This is an information thread only. This is not an opinion as to activity levels this hurricane season. This will just be a comparison of formation dates for the last three seasons.


As of October 2nd

2005 - 18/11/5 Last Storm HURRICANE STAN formed 10/02. Next Storm - SUBTROPTICAL STORM 16 formed on 10/04. Season Total 28/15/7

2006 - 10/5/2 Last Storm HURRICANE ISAAC formed 09/28. Next Storm - SEASON OVER. Season Total 10/5/2

2007 -13/4/2 Last Storm TROPICAL STORM MELISSA formed on 09/29. Next Storm - ??? Season Total ???.

September totals for 2005 - 5/5/2, 2006 - 4/4/2 2007- 8/3/1 (Impressive 8 storms for Sept)

[Frank2]

...and if this were prior to 2002, the score for 2007 would be 1/0/0 (really, the A system shouldn't have been named, because it was largely a gale center, more than anything)...

Interesting, though, that if this factor were true, the total would be the same as last year...

[Andrew92]

We're ahead of 1998, 1999, and 2004.

-Andrew92

[wxman57]

...and if this were prior to 2002, the score for 2007 would be 1/0/0 (really, the A system shouldn't have been named, because it was largely a gale center, more than anything)...

Interesting, though, that if this factor were true, the total would be the same as last year...

And 2 more than in 2004, which had 16 named storms including 4 hurricane hits on Florida. About 90-95% of named storms form between the first week of August and the 2nd week of October. Quiet Julys are quite common, even in the worst/busiest years.

[Brent]

...and if this were prior to 2002, the score for 2007 would be 1/0/0 (really, the A system shouldn't have been named, because it was largely a gale center, more than anything)...

Interesting, though, that if this factor were true, the total would be the same as last year...

And 2 more than in 2004, which had 16 named storms including 4 hurricane hits on Florida. About 90-95% of named storms form between the first week of August and the 2nd week of October. Quiet Julys are quite common, even in the worst/busiest years.

Thank you.



But I'll be honest, I got spoiled by Barry forming on the 1st day of the season and have been quite bored with the tropics since.

[miamicanes177]

.(really, the A system shouldn't have been named, because it was largely a gale center, more than anything)

Subtropical Storm Andrea has been confirmed by the NHC experts in their post-storm analysis taking all information available into account. You can rest assured that the record books will accurately account for this STS.

[Berwick Bay]

Could maybe go back to '02. Compare '02-'07. These seasons could all be part of the same general El Nino-La Nina cycle. Meaning that in general, conditions have either been neutral or slightly tending toward La Nina during this period. Sure we've had minor moves back to El Nino, but no significant one to dampen the entire season. In general '02-'07 (including '07 here) looks to be positive for development.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Ill go out on a limb and say we have 2 named storms by Aug 1st

[chadtm80]

Ill go out on a limb and say we have 2 named storms by Aug 1st

Not bad seeing as we already had two. lol

[southerngale]

Ill go out on a limb and say we have 2 named storms by Aug 1st

Not bad seeing as we already had two. lol

I think he meant two more, Chad.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Ill go out on a limb and say we have 2 named storms by Aug 1st

Not bad seeing as we already had two. lol

I think he meant two more, Chad.

Correct...LOL

[chadtm80]

Best site for Storm history IMO..

Our friend over at skeetobite weather..

http://skeetobiteweather.com/history.asp

just select the year you want

[cycloneye]

Best site for Storm history IMO..

Our friend over at skeetobite weather..

http://skeetobiteweather.com/history.asp

just select the year you want

Agree,it's a must to see .I already had it bookmarked.

[Ptarmigan]

And 2 more than in 2004, which had 16 named storms including 4 hurricane hits on Florida. About 90-95% of named storms form between the first week of August and the 2nd week of October. Quiet Julys are quite common, even in the worst/busiest years.

Like to add, we had 3 named storms that formed in July of 1997 and guess what, it became one of the least active season since 1983 and that was due to a strong El Nino. Let's go back to 1990 for how many storms formed in July.

1990
July=3/1/0
Total=14/8/1

1991
July=0/0/0
Total=8/4/2

1992
July=0/0/0
Total=7/4/1

1993
July=0/0/0
Total=8/4/1

1994
July=0/0/0
Total=7/3/0

1995
July=4/1/0
Total=19/11/5

1996
July=2/2/1
Total=13/9/6

1997
July=3/2/0
Total=7/3/1

1998
July=1/0/0
Total=14/10/3

1999
July=0/0/0
Total=12/8/5

2000
July=0/0/0
Total=14/8/3

2001
July=0/0/0
Total=15/9/4

2002
July=1/0/0
Total=12/4/2

2003
July=2/2/0
Total=16/7/3

2004
July=1/1/1
Total=14/9/6

2005
July=5/3/2
Total=28/15/7

2006
July=1/0/0
Total=10/5/2

Proof that a quiet July can give way to a very active season. Sometimes, the more active July's give way to quiet seasons.

[windstorm99]

Good evening...

Iam thinking this season florida and the carolinas will have to look out for similar tracks like the one like ernesto took which was a hurricane though not for long but the outcome for southflorida could have been much different if ernesto would have come of cuba sooner.Those mountians saved us from a major hurricane.Adrian

[dwg71]

Scorecard updated see OP.

If we do not get a named storm by July 18th we will technically be behind 2006's pace.

[dwg71]

As of JULY 24

2005 - 7/3/2 Last Storm TROPICAL STORM GERT formed 7/24. Next Storm - TROPICAL STORM HARVEY formed on 08/03. Season Total 28/15/7

2006 - 3/0/0 Last Storm TROPICAL STORM BERYL formed 7/18. Next Storm - TROPICAL STORM CHRIS formed on 08/01. Season Total 10/5/2

2007 - 2/0/0 Last Storm TROPICAL STORM BARRY formed on 6/1. Next Storm - ??? Season Total ???.


August totals for 2005 - 5/2/1, 2006 - 3/1/0

[Frank2]

The totals for busy 2004 to-date were:

0/0/0

so, we'll see what happens...

[Stormcenter]

Don't you love it.... the quiet season so far?
Yeah I know it' early but come on now look at the
flow in the GOM. You would think it was late Sept.
and not late July. I just hope if and when the big ones
develop they stay away. Thanks for the updates.

[Stormcenter]

The totals for busy 2004 to-date were:

0/0/0

so, we'll see what happens...

What about the year that Mickey Mouse storm Andrew formed?
Remember ladies and gentlemen it only takes ONE really nasty storm
to make things miserable for many.